Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Jamaica: forward projections across 9 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -6.11 | 0.12 | -12.33 | -7.48 – -4.74 |
| 2029 | -6.32 | 4.46 | -17.1 | -8.83 – -3.82 |
| 2031 | -6.54 | 7.38 | -20.46 | -9.9 – -3.17 |
| 2036 | -7.07 | 12.62 | -26.76 | -12.22 – -1.92 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 23.6bn | 26.7bn | 20.9bn | 22.8bn – 24.3bn |
| 2029 | 25.2bn | 30.6bn | 20.4bn | 23.3bn – 27bn |
| 2031 | 26.7bn | 33.8bn | 20.6bn | 23.7bn – 29.7bn |
| 2036 | 30.6bn | 40.6bn | 22bn | 24.3bn – 37bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-0.54(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -1.84 | 2.01 | -5.17 | -2.51 – -1.17 |
| 2029 | -3.5 | 3.17 | -9.28 | -4.78 – -2.22 |
| 2031 | -5.16 | 3.45 | -10 | -7 – -3.31 |
| 2036 | -9.3 | 2.87 | -10 | -10 – -5.79 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.8k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.6k | 9.7k | 7.7k | 8.3k – 8.9k |
| 2029 | 9.3k | 11.2k | 7.7k | 8.6k – 10k |
| 2031 | 10k | 12.5k | 7.9k | 8.9k – 11.2k |
| 2036 | 11.8k | 15.3k | 8.7k | 9.3k – 14.2k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed65.8(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 61.83 | 77.66 | 43.57 | 58.41 – 65.26 |
| 2029 | 53.9 | 81.32 | 22.27 | 47.1 – 60.71 |
| 2031 | 45.97 | 81.36 | 5.13 | 36.85 – 55.09 |
| 2036 | 26.14 | 76.19 | 0 | 14.26 – 38.02 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.41(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.17 | 13.15 | 0.76 | 5.72 – 8.61 |
| 2029 | 10.25 | 20.6 | -0.85 | 7.46 – 13.03 |
| 2031 | 13.33 | 26.7 | -1 | 9.29 – 17.36 |
| 2036 | 21.03 | 39.94 | 0.76 | 13.47 – 28.58 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.8m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.8m | 2.9m | 2.7m | 2.7m – 2.9m |
| 2029 | 2.8m | 2.9m | 2.7m | 2.6m – 3m |
| 2031 | 2.8m | 2.9m | 2.7m | 2.5m – 3.1m |
| 2036 | 2.8m | 3m | 2.6m | 2.2m – 3.4m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-0.87(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -1.44 | 5.96 | -6.99 | -2.38 – -0.49 |
| 2027 | -2.57 | 10.25 | -10 | -4.3 – -0.85 |
| 2029 | -3.7 | 12.84 | -10 | -6.07 – -1.34 |
| 2034 | -6.54 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -2.57 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.29(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.62 | 3.87 | 1.37 | 2.39 – 2.86 |
| 2028 | 1.29 | 3.46 | 0 | 0.9 – 1.69 |
| 2030 | 0 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 – 0.51 |
| 2035 | 0 | 3.96 | 0 | 0 – 0.77 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/JAM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
