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World/Forecast/Kazakhstan

Forecast

Kazakhstan — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
4.61

Kazakhstan: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-1
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-0.736.79-8.24-2.28 – 0.82
2029-0.1812.84-13.2-2.89 – 2.52
20310.3617.17-16.45-3.15 – 3.87
20361.7325.5-22.05-3.4 – 6.85

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed31.59(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202531.5642.62229.48 – 33.64
202731.5150.6314.9527.27 – 35.76
202931.4756.1410.0825.42 – 37.51
203431.3466.241.121.34 – 41.34

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed291.5bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027382.8bn423.9bn347.2bn370.9bn – 394.7bn
2029440.9bn512.1bn379.2bn408.3bn – 473.5bn
2031499bn591bn419.3bn442.3bn – 555.6bn
2036644.2bn774.3bn531.5bn510.6bn – 777.8bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed5(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.617.681.954.02 – 5.19
20294.619.9203.5 – 5.71
20314.611.46-1.343.09 – 6.12
20364.612-3.812.24 – 6.95

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed14.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202718.5k20.5k16.8k18k – 19.1k
202921.2k24.6k18.3k19.7k – 22.8k
203123.9k28.3k20.1k21.2k – 26.6k
203630.7k36.8k25.3k24.3k – 37k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed24.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202725.4229.5520.6524.38 – 26.46
202926.4633.6218.224.09 – 28.83
203127.536.7416.8423.88 – 31.12
203630.143.1715.0223.27 – 36.93

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed25.57(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202525.729.2122.1824.75 – 26.65
202725.9532.0419.8623.77 – 28.13
202926.234.0618.3422.9 – 29.5
203426.8237.9415.7120.83 – 32.82

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed8.69(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202710.3218.911.128.25 – 12.39
20299.3424.22-55.59 – 13.09
20318.3627.57-53.43 – 13.29
20365.9133.08-5-1.06 – 12.88

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed24.32(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202524.7828.1621.8423.9 – 25.66
202725.8531.7120.7723.77 – 27.93
202926.9234.4920.3623.69 – 30.16
203429.640.3120.3223.33 – 35.87

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed20.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202720.6m21.6m19.7m20m – 21.3m
202920.8m21.8m19.9m19.3m – 22.4m
203121.1m22.1m20.2m18.7m – 23.5m
203621.7m22.7m20.7m17.2m – 26.2m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed3.14(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20253.1612-3.472.01 – 4.32
20273.3615-8.131.28 – 5.43
20293.5515-100.8 – 6.31
20344.0415-10-0.1 – 8.18

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed4.77(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.454.973.944.3 – 4.6
20294.165.063.273.83 – 4.5
20313.875.032.713.38 – 4.36
20363.144.771.512.39 – 3.89

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/KAZ · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs