Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Kenya: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -4.08 | -1.8 | -6.36 | -4.61 – -3.55 |
| 2029 | -4.05 | -0.1 | -8 | -5.05 – -3.05 |
| 2031 | -4.01 | 1.09 | -9.11 | -5.37 – -2.65 |
| 2036 | -3.92 | 3.29 | -11.13 | -6.02 – -1.82 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.07(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17.87 | 20.43 | 15.65 | 17.22 – 18.52 |
| 2027 | 19.47 | 23.9 | 15.63 | 17.9 – 21.04 |
| 2029 | 21.07 | 26.79 | 16.11 | 18.57 – 23.57 |
| 2034 | 25.08 | 33.17 | 18.06 | 19.88 – 30.28 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed120.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 156.1bn | 171.6bn | 142.7bn | 151.3bn – 161bn |
| 2029 | 177.4bn | 204.2bn | 154.2bn | 164.3bn – 190.6bn |
| 2031 | 198.7bn | 233.3bn | 168.8bn | 176.2bn – 221.3bn |
| 2036 | 252bn | 301bn | 209.6bn | 199.8bn – 304.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.3 | 6.87 | 2.08 | 3.81 – 4.8 |
| 2029 | 3.81 | 8.25 | -0.04 | 2.89 – 4.73 |
| 2031 | 3.32 | 9.05 | -1.66 | 2.09 – 4.54 |
| 2036 | 2.08 | 10.2 | -4.95 | 0.4 – 3.77 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.9k | 3.2k | 2.6k | 2.8k – 3k |
| 2029 | 3.3k | 3.9k | 2.7k | 3k – 3.5k |
| 2031 | 3.7k | 4.5k | 3k | 3.3k – 4.1k |
| 2036 | 4.7k | 5.8k | 3.7k | 3.7k – 5.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed71.6(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 73.46 | 80.53 | 65.29 | 71.18 – 75.73 |
| 2029 | 77.17 | 89.42 | 63.03 | 71.46 – 82.88 |
| 2031 | 80.88 | 96.7 | 62.63 | 71.7 – 90.07 |
| 2036 | 90.17 | 112.54 | 64.35 | 71.47 – 108.87 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.12(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23.43 | 26.89 | 19.96 | 22.52 – 24.33 |
| 2027 | 24.04 | 30.04 | 18.03 | 21.96 – 26.11 |
| 2029 | 24.65 | 32.4 | 16.9 | 21.49 – 27.81 |
| 2034 | 26.18 | 37.14 | 15.21 | 20.31 – 32.04 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.49(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.74 | 10.36 | 2.86 | 5.83 – 7.65 |
| 2029 | 9.26 | 15.53 | 2.54 | 7.42 – 11.09 |
| 2031 | 11.78 | 19.88 | 3.1 | 9.04 – 14.51 |
| 2036 | 18.08 | 29.53 | 5.81 | 12.65 – 23.51 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.54(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17.07 | 18.35 | 15.96 | 16.54 – 17.6 |
| 2027 | 15.97 | 18.18 | 14.04 | 14.78 – 17.15 |
| 2029 | 14.86 | 17.72 | 12.38 | 13.17 – 16.55 |
| 2034 | 12.09 | 16.14 | 8.59 | 9.58 – 14.61 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed56.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 54.8m | 57.4m | 52.4m | 53.1m – 56.5m |
| 2029 | 55.8m | 60m | 51.9m | 51.7m – 59.9m |
| 2031 | 56.8m | 62.3m | 51.8m | 50.4m – 63.3m |
| 2036 | 59.3m | 67m | 52.2m | 47m – 71.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.32 | 10.24 | -5.37 | 0.18 – 2.46 |
| 2027 | 0.09 | 15 | -10 | -1.89 – 2.07 |
| 2029 | -1.14 | 15 | -10 | -3.72 – 1.45 |
| 2034 | -4.21 | 15 | -10 | -8.41 – -0.01 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.45(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.4 | 5.67 | 5.14 | 5.24 – 5.57 |
| 2028 | 5.31 | 5.65 | 4.98 | 4.92 – 5.71 |
| 2030 | 5.22 | 5.66 | 4.79 | 4.63 – 5.81 |
| 2035 | 4.99 | 5.61 | 4.38 | 3.96 – 6.03 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/KEN · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
