Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Kiribati: forward projections across 10 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2031, 2033, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -26.06 | -3.35 | -30 | -30 – -21.01 |
| 2029 | -30 | 9.34 | -30 | -30 – -20.53 |
| 2031 | -30 | 20.78 | -30 | -30 – -17.24 |
| 2036 | -30 | 30 | -30 | -30 – -10.54 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.92(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4.45 | 13.51 | 0 | 3.08 – 5.82 |
| 2026 | 1.51 | 17.21 | 0 | 0 – 3.82 |
| 2028 | 0 | 20.27 | 0 | 0 – 2.98 |
| 2033 | 0 | 28.66 | 0 | 0 – 4.25 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed307.9m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 426.8m | 481m | 379.8m | 413.5m – 440.1m |
| 2029 | 491.4m | 585.3m | 410m | 455m – 527.7m |
| 2031 | 556m | 677.2m | 450.9m | 492.8m – 619.1m |
| 2036 | 717.4m | 888.8m | 568.9m | 568.6m – 866.2m |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.27(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.25 | 6.69 | -1.6 | 1.47 – 3.03 |
| 2029 | 0.36 | 8.06 | -6.31 | -0.97 – 1.69 |
| 2031 | -1.53 | 8.41 | -10 | -3.31 – 0.25 |
| 2036 | -6.25 | 7.81 | -10 | -9.59 – -2.91 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.2k | 3.7k | 2.9k | 3.1k – 3.4k |
| 2029 | 3.7k | 4.5k | 3.1k | 3.5k – 4k |
| 2031 | 4.2k | 5.2k | 3.4k | 3.8k – 4.7k |
| 2036 | 5.5k | 6.9k | 4.2k | 4.3k – 6.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.08 | 9.73 | 1.87 | 5.42 – 6.74 |
| 2029 | 2.83 | 9.15 | 0 | 1.72 – 3.94 |
| 2031 | 0 | 8.16 | 0 | 0 – 1.33 |
| 2036 | 0 | 11.53 | 0 | 0 – 1.93 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed101.68(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 102.72 | 130.48 | 74.96 | 96.83 – 108.61 |
| 2026 | 104.79 | 150 | 56.71 | 92.4 – 117.18 |
| 2028 | 106.86 | 150 | 44.79 | 88.81 – 124.91 |
| 2033 | 112.04 | 150 | 24.26 | 80.68 – 143.4 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.46(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.48 | 12.19 | -5 | 1.49 – 5.47 |
| 2029 | 0.68 | 15.77 | -5 | -2.71 – 4.07 |
| 2031 | -2.12 | 17.36 | -5 | -5 – 2.37 |
| 2036 | -5 | 22.55 | -5 | -5 – 1.91 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed25.41(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.6 | 35.7 | 18.71 | 24.87 – 28.32 |
| 2026 | 29.59 | 45.35 | 15.93 | 25.92 – 33.26 |
| 2028 | 32.58 | 52.92 | 14.95 | 27.07 – 38.09 |
| 2033 | 40.06 | 68.83 | 15.12 | 29.54 – 50.57 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed134.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 132k | 138.2k | 126.2k | 127.9k – 136.1k |
| 2029 | 134.2k | 142k | 127k | 124.3k – 144.1k |
| 2031 | 136.4k | 146.4k | 127.1k | 120.9k – 151.9k |
| 2036 | 141.9k | 156.1k | 128.7k | 112.5k – 171.3k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/KIR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
