Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
St. Kitts and Nevis: forward projections across 7 macro indicators, horizons 2027, 2029, 2031, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-15.4
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -16.87 | -7.91 | -25.82 | -18.96 – -14.77 |
| 2029 | -19.8 | -4.29 | -30 | -23.92 – -15.68 |
| 2031 | -22.73 | -2.71 | -30 | -28.64 – -16.83 |
| 2036 | -30 | -1.69 | -30 | -30 – -19.42 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.1bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.2bn | 1.4bn | 963.7m | 1.1bn – 1.2bn |
| 2029 | 1.2bn | 1.6bn | 867m | 1.1bn – 1.3bn |
| 2031 | 1.3bn | 1.8bn | 814.9m | 1.1bn – 1.4bn |
| 2036 | 1.4bn | 2.1bn | 750.1m | 1.1bn – 1.7bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.31(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.34 | 12 | -8.15 | 0.29 – 4.4 |
| 2029 | 2.92 | 12 | -10 | -0.71 – 6.56 |
| 2031 | 3.5 | 12 | -10 | -1.29 – 8.3 |
| 2036 | 4.95 | 12 | -10 | -2.22 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed24k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 21.9k | 27.2k | 17.4k | 21k – 22.9k |
| 2029 | 21.6k | 30.7k | 13.8k | 19.5k – 23.8k |
| 2031 | 21.3k | 33.1k | 11.2k | 18.2k – 24.4k |
| 2036 | 20.6k | 37.2k | 6.2k | 15.3k – 25.9k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed64(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 64.35 | 75.55 | 51.41 | 61.59 – 67.1 |
| 2029 | 65.04 | 84.45 | 42.64 | 58.93 – 71.14 |
| 2031 | 65.73 | 90.79 | 36.81 | 56.61 – 74.84 |
| 2036 | 67.45 | 102.89 | 26.56 | 51.21 – 83.7 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.56(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.6 | 5.42 | -0.42 | 1.93 – 3.26 |
| 2029 | 3.86 | 8.74 | -1.37 | 2.59 – 5.13 |
| 2031 | 5.12 | 11.42 | -1.64 | 3.31 – 6.92 |
| 2036 | 8.27 | 17.18 | -1.28 | 4.97 – 11.57 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed46.8k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 50.9k | 54k | 48.1k | 49.4k – 52.5k |
| 2029 | 50.9k | 56.3k | 46k | 47.2k – 54.7k |
| 2031 | 50.9k | 57.8k | 44.6k | 45.2k – 56.7k |
| 2036 | 50.9k | 60.7k | 41.9k | 40.4k – 61.5k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/KNA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
