Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
South Korea: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.96 | 9.62 | 2.29 | 5.11 – 6.8 |
| 2029 | 6.67 | 13.02 | 0.32 | 5.05 – 8.28 |
| 2031 | 7.38 | 15.58 | -0.82 | 5.12 – 9.64 |
| 2036 | 9.16 | 20.76 | -2.44 | 5.33 – 12.99 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed44.36(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45.28 | 52.83 | 38.73 | 43.48 – 47.08 |
| 2027 | 47.12 | 60.2 | 35.79 | 42.99 – 51.25 |
| 2029 | 48.97 | 65.85 | 34.33 | 42.64 – 55.29 |
| 2034 | 53.57 | 77.45 | 32.88 | 41.59 – 65.56 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.9T(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.9T | 2.1T | 1.8T | 1.9T – 2T |
| 2029 | 2T | 2.3T | 1.7T | 1.8T – 2.1T |
| 2031 | 2T | 2.5T | 1.7T | 1.8T – 2.3T |
| 2036 | 2.2T | 2.8T | 1.6T | 1.7T – 2.6T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.69 | 3.87 | -0.2 | 1.3 – 2.08 |
| 2029 | 1.23 | 5.01 | -2.04 | 0.54 – 1.92 |
| 2031 | 0.77 | 5.64 | -3.46 | -0.12 – 1.66 |
| 2036 | -0.39 | 6.5 | -6.36 | -1.7 – 0.92 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed36.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 37.8k | 41.6k | 34.5k | 36.6k – 39k |
| 2029 | 38.7k | 45.3k | 33k | 35.9k – 41.6k |
| 2031 | 39.7k | 48.2k | 32.3k | 35.2k – 44.2k |
| 2036 | 42.1k | 54.1k | 31.7k | 33.3k – 50.8k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed54.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 56.3 | 59.72 | 52.36 | 54.56 – 58.05 |
| 2029 | 60.11 | 66.03 | 53.28 | 55.66 – 64.56 |
| 2031 | 63.92 | 71.56 | 55.09 | 56.66 – 71.17 |
| 2036 | 73.43 | 84.24 | 60.96 | 58.2 – 88.66 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed40.28(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41.57 | 50.34 | 32.79 | 39.56 – 43.57 |
| 2027 | 44.13 | 59.33 | 28.93 | 39.69 – 48.57 |
| 2029 | 46.69 | 66.31 | 27.08 | 39.96 – 53.43 |
| 2034 | 53.1 | 80.85 | 25.36 | 40.36 – 65.85 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.32(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.72 | 5.7 | -0.47 | 2.02 – 3.42 |
| 2029 | 3.28 | 8.44 | -2.25 | 1.98 – 4.58 |
| 2031 | 3.84 | 10.5 | -3.3 | 2.06 – 5.62 |
| 2036 | 5.24 | 14.66 | -4.86 | 2.31 – 8.17 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed30.03(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29.82 | 31.55 | 28.33 | 28.9 – 30.75 |
| 2027 | 29.28 | 32.26 | 26.69 | 27.11 – 31.44 |
| 2029 | 28.73 | 32.58 | 25.4 | 25.47 – 32 |
| 2034 | 27.37 | 32.81 | 22.65 | 21.69 – 33.05 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed51.8m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 51.6m | 54.1m | 49.4m | 50m – 53.2m |
| 2029 | 51.5m | 54m | 49.3m | 47.7m – 55.4m |
| 2031 | 51.5m | 53.9m | 49.2m | 45.6m – 57.3m |
| 2036 | 51.3m | 53.7m | 49m | 40.6m – 61.9m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.27(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.79 | 5.98 | -3.1 | 0.13 – 1.45 |
| 2027 | -0.17 | 8.82 | -6.91 | -1.34 – 1 |
| 2029 | -1.12 | 10.47 | -9.82 | -2.66 – 0.41 |
| 2034 | -3.52 | 12.89 | -10 | -6.13 – -0.9 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.68(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.67 | 3.31 | 2.02 | 2.53 – 2.81 |
| 2029 | 2.41 | 3.52 | 1.29 | 2.12 – 2.69 |
| 2031 | 2.14 | 3.58 | 0.7 | 1.75 – 2.53 |
| 2036 | 1.48 | 3.52 | 0 | 0.93 – 2.03 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/KOR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
