Forecast

Lithuania — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

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Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

2.79

Lithuania: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Exports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	74.71	87.01	64.06	71.76 – 77.67
2027	75.91	97.21	57.46	69.23 – 82.6
2029	77.11	104.6	53.28	67.01 – 87.21
2034	80.11	118.99	46.41	61.74 – 98.48

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	112.4bn	119bn	106.6bn	108.9bn – 115.8bn
2029	128.7bn	140.2bn	118.8bn	119.2bn – 138.3bn
2031	145.1bn	159.9bn	132.3bn	128.6bn – 161.6bn
2036	186bn	207bn	167.9bn	147.5bn – 224.6bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	2.79	7.31	-1.12	2 – 3.59
2029	2.57	10.39	-4.2	1.14 – 4
2031	2.35	12	-6.4	0.48 – 4.22
2036	1.79	12	-10	-0.87 – 4.46

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	38.7k	41k	36.7k	37.5k – 39.9k
2029	44.1k	48.1k	40.6k	40.8k – 47.4k
2031	49.6k	54.7k	45.1k	43.9k – 55.2k
2036	63.2k	70.5k	56.8k	50.1k – 76.3k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	45.59	54.3	35.53	43.52 – 47.66
2029	46.56	61.65	29.14	42 – 51.11
2031	47.53	67.01	25.04	40.73 – 54.33
2036	49.95	77.51	18.16	37.72 – 62.19

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	69.49	88.74	50.23	65.43 – 73.55
2027	70.6	103.95	37.25	62.11 – 79.09
2029	71.71	114.76	28.65	59.38 – 84.03
2034	74.48	135.37	13.59	53.25 – 95.72

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.27	22.79	-5	0.1 – 8.45
2029	5.11	37.18	-5	-2.24 – 12.47
2031	5.95	47.35	-5	-3.7 – 15.61
2036	8.05	50	-5	-5 – 22.32

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	22.72	24.26	21.38	22.01 – 23.42
2027	23.25	25.92	20.93	21.53 – 24.97
2029	23.77	27.22	20.78	21.07 – 26.47
2034	25.09	29.97	20.87	19.89 – 30.3

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	2.9m	3m	2.8m	2.8m – 3m
2029	2.9m	3m	2.8m	2.7m – 3.1m
2031	2.9m	3m	2.8m	2.6m – 3.2m
2036	2.9m	3.1m	2.8m	2.3m – 3.5m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	0.75	7.93	-4.64	-0.17 – 1.66
2027	-1.08	11.36	-10	-2.68 – 0.53
2029	-2.9	13.16	-10	-5.14 – -0.66
2034	-7.46	15	-10	-10 – -3.43

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	6.48	7.75	5.2	6.18 – 6.78
2029	6.44	8.65	4.23	5.79 – 7.09
2031	6.4	9.25	3.55	5.45 – 7.35
2036	6.29	10.33	2.26	4.67 – 7.92

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

2027	-0.3	9.09	-9.69	-2.23 – 1.63
2029	-1.3	14.96	-17.57	-4.69 – 2.08
2031	-2.31	18.69	-23.3	-6.78 – 2.16
2036	-4.81	24.88	-30	-11.64 – 2.02