Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Latvia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-3.6
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -4.15 | 2.17 | -10.47 | -5.51 – -2.79 |
| 2029 | -5.25 | 5.69 | -16.2 | -7.74 – -2.77 |
| 2031 | -6.36 | 7.78 | -20.49 | -9.75 – -2.96 |
| 2036 | -9.11 | 10.87 | -29.1 | -14.65 – -3.58 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed65.33(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 66.14 | 79.09 | 54.92 | 63.24 – 69.05 |
| 2027 | 67.76 | 90.19 | 48.33 | 61.31 – 74.22 |
| 2029 | 69.38 | 98.34 | 44.29 | 59.7 – 79.07 |
| 2034 | 73.43 | 114.38 | 37.94 | 55.83 – 91.03 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed43.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 56.4bn | 61.1bn | 52.2bn | 54.6bn – 58.1bn |
| 2029 | 63.2bn | 71.5bn | 56bn | 58.5bn – 67.8bn |
| 2031 | 70bn | 80.7bn | 60.7bn | 62bn – 77.9bn |
| 2036 | 87bn | 102.1bn | 73.9bn | 69bn – 105.1bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-0.05(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.64 | 8.15 | -2.13 | 1.68 – 3.61 |
| 2029 | 3.55 | 12 | -4.71 | 1.79 – 5.31 |
| 2031 | 4.46 | 12 | -6.21 | 2.05 – 6.87 |
| 2036 | 6.74 | 12 | -8.35 | 2.76 – 10.72 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.4k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 30.4k | 32.9k | 28.2k | 29.5k – 31.3k |
| 2029 | 34.2k | 38.6k | 30.5k | 31.7k – 36.8k |
| 2031 | 38.1k | 43.6k | 33.2k | 33.7k – 42.4k |
| 2036 | 47.6k | 55.5k | 40.8k | 37.8k – 57.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed47.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 48.4 | 52.5 | 43.67 | 46.9 – 49.9 |
| 2029 | 50.41 | 57.5 | 42.22 | 46.68 – 54.13 |
| 2031 | 52.41 | 61.57 | 41.84 | 46.46 – 58.36 |
| 2036 | 57.42 | 70.37 | 42.47 | 45.51 – 69.33 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed66.93(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 68.25 | 83.14 | 53.35 | 64.87 – 71.62 |
| 2027 | 70.88 | 96.69 | 45.07 | 63.53 – 78.23 |
| 2029 | 73.51 | 106.83 | 40.19 | 62.53 – 84.49 |
| 2034 | 80.09 | 127.21 | 32.98 | 60.07 – 100.12 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.27(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.69 | 19.26 | -5 | -1.02 – 6.41 |
| 2029 | 1.57 | 30.27 | -5 | -4.86 – 8.01 |
| 2031 | 0.45 | 37.5 | -5 | -5 – 8.74 |
| 2036 | -2.35 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 9.64 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22.41(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.46 | 24.27 | 20.89 | 21.77 – 23.16 |
| 2027 | 22.51 | 25.65 | 19.8 | 20.85 – 24.18 |
| 2029 | 22.56 | 26.61 | 19.06 | 20 – 25.13 |
| 2034 | 22.69 | 28.42 | 17.73 | 17.99 – 27.4 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.9m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.9m | 1.9m | 1.8m | 1.8m – 1.9m |
| 2029 | 1.9m | 1.9m | 1.8m | 1.7m – 2m |
| 2031 | 1.9m | 1.9m | 1.8m | 1.6m – 2.1m |
| 2036 | 1.8m | 1.9m | 1.8m | 1.5m – 2.2m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.28(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -0.35 | 14.18 | -10 | -2.18 – 1.48 |
| 2027 | -3.65 | 15 | -10 | -6.97 – -0.33 |
| 2029 | -6.94 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -2.33 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -2.66 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.57(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.58 | 7.36 | 5.79 | 6.35 – 6.8 |
| 2029 | 6.33 | 7.68 | 4.97 | 5.81 – 6.84 |
| 2031 | 6.08 | 7.82 | 4.33 | 5.32 – 6.83 |
| 2036 | 5.45 | 7.92 | 2.98 | 4.2 – 6.7 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/LVA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
