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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Macao

Forecast

Macao — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
1.2

Macao: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed35

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202730309.2625.29 – 30
20293030-5.9221.23 – 30
20313030-16.3718.14 – 30
20363030-3011.82 – 30

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed92.19(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202594.16124.3767.9888.34 – 99.98
202798.0915052.7485.91 – 110.28
2029102.0315043.4884.22 – 119.84
2034111.8715029.0780.32 – 143.41

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed49.5bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202756.2bn85.9bn30.4bn51.8bn – 60.6bn
202961.6bn113bn17bn52.5bn – 70.6bn
203166.9bn133.3bn9.4bn53.7bn – 80.2bn
203680.3bn174.3bn056.3bn – 104.4bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed7.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.212-10-10 – 12
2029-3.8412-10-10 – 12
2031-8.8812-10-10 – 12
2036-1012-10-10 – 12

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed72k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202778.5k122.8k40.2k72k – 85.1k
202984.7k161.3k18.2k71.5k – 97.9k
203190.8k189.7k5k71.7k – 109.8k
2036106.1k246k072.4k – 139.7k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed0(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202700.1800 – 0.05
202900.1800 – 0.05
203100.1800 – 0.08
203600.1800 – 0.16

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed49.89(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202554.4289.2919.5548.22 – 60.63
202763.49123.893.151.2 – 75.79
202972.56150054.82 – 90.3
203495.24150063.12 – 127.35

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed0.67(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.434.040.72.03 – 2.83
20294.537.331.543.69 – 5.37
20316.6310.242.765.3 – 7.96
203611.8816.986.418.85 – 14.91

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed13.74(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202512.0424.631.1210.04 – 14.03
20277.9429.7604.44 – 11.44
20293.8432.0100 – 8.17
2034039.8400 – 5.85

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed687k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027706.8k740.2k675.8k684.9k – 728.7k
2029717.8k751.7k686.3k664.7k – 770.9k
2031728.8k763.2k696.8k646.1k – 811.6k
2036756.3k796.3k719.2k599.4k – 913.2k

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed5.92(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202510.9515-10-5.98 – 15
20271515-10-10 – 15
20291515-10-10 – 15
20341515-10-10 – 15

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed2.35(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.622.231.011.5 – 1.74
20291.462.510.41.22 – 1.69
20311.292.6600.98 – 1.61
20360.892.8100.43 – 1.34

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MAC · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs