Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Moldova: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-21.9
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -23.7 | -16.12 | -30 | -25.62 – -21.77 |
| 2029 | -27.29 | -14.17 | -30 | -30 – -23.3 |
| 2031 | -30 | -13.07 | -30 | -30 – -24.14 |
| 2036 | -30 | -6.05 | -30 | -30 – -20.31 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed31.41(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31.97 | 42.76 | 22.63 | 29.92 – 34.03 |
| 2027 | 33.1 | 51.77 | 16.91 | 28.84 – 37.35 |
| 2029 | 34.22 | 58.33 | 13.32 | 28.03 – 40.4 |
| 2034 | 37.02 | 71.12 | 7.46 | 26.22 – 47.81 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 23.2bn | 24.9bn | 21.7bn | 22.5bn – 23.9bn |
| 2029 | 26.6bn | 29.6bn | 24bn | 24.6bn – 28.6bn |
| 2031 | 30bn | 33.8bn | 26.6bn | 26.6bn – 33.4bn |
| 2036 | 38.4bn | 43.8bn | 33.7bn | 30.4bn – 46.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.1(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.05 | 12 | -10 | -0.93 – 5.03 |
| 2029 | 2.29 | 12 | -10 | -2.92 – 7.51 |
| 2031 | 2.53 | 12 | -10 | -4.26 – 9.33 |
| 2036 | 3.13 | 12 | -10 | -6.69 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10k | 10.7k | 9.4k | 9.7k – 10.3k |
| 2029 | 11.6k | 12.9k | 10.5k | 10.8k – 12.5k |
| 2031 | 13.3k | 14.9k | 11.9k | 11.8k – 14.8k |
| 2036 | 17.4k | 19.7k | 15.4k | 13.8k – 21k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed39.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 40.02 | 46.55 | 32.5 | 38.38 – 41.67 |
| 2029 | 41.47 | 52.77 | 28.44 | 37.74 – 45.2 |
| 2031 | 42.92 | 57.51 | 26.09 | 37.24 – 48.6 |
| 2036 | 46.54 | 67.17 | 22.74 | 35.92 – 57.16 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed57.25(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58.07 | 72.62 | 43.52 | 54.91 – 61.23 |
| 2027 | 59.7 | 84.91 | 34.5 | 52.98 – 66.43 |
| 2029 | 61.34 | 93.87 | 28.8 | 51.45 – 71.22 |
| 2034 | 65.42 | 111.43 | 19.41 | 47.91 – 82.93 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.68(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.86 | 32.81 | -5 | -0.21 – 11.93 |
| 2029 | 3.9 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 14.43 |
| 2031 | 1.94 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 15.45 |
| 2036 | -2.96 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 16.4 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed19.99(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19.11 | 22.13 | 16.49 | 18.37 – 19.84 |
| 2027 | 17.02 | 22.25 | 12.48 | 15.45 – 18.58 |
| 2029 | 14.93 | 21.68 | 9.07 | 12.77 – 17.08 |
| 2034 | 9.7 | 19.25 | 1.42 | 6.78 – 12.61 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.3m | 2.5m | 2.2m | 2.3m – 2.4m |
| 2029 | 2.3m | 2.4m | 2.2m | 2.1m – 2.5m |
| 2031 | 2.3m | 2.4m | 2.2m | 2m – 2.5m |
| 2036 | 2.1m | 2.2m | 2.1m | 1.7m – 2.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.07(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -1.17 | 15 | -10 | -4.37 – 2.02 |
| 2027 | -4.01 | 15 | -10 | -9.7 – 1.69 |
| 2029 | -6.84 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 0.81 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 1.65 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.51(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.28 | 6.02 | 2.54 | 3.94 – 4.61 |
| 2029 | 5.23 | 8.24 | 2.22 | 4.52 – 5.94 |
| 2031 | 6.18 | 10.07 | 2.29 | 5.09 – 7.27 |
| 2036 | 8.56 | 14.06 | 3.06 | 6.35 – 10.78 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MDA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
