Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Madagascar: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -8.5 | -5.7 | -11.29 | -9.2 – -7.79 |
| 2029 | -9.49 | -4.65 | -14.33 | -10.93 – -8.05 |
| 2031 | -10.48 | -4.24 | -16.73 | -12.6 – -8.37 |
| 2036 | -12.96 | -4.13 | -21.79 | -16.84 – -9.09 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.26(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.47 | 32.54 | 13.74 | 20.67 – 24.27 |
| 2027 | 20.88 | 38.32 | 5.75 | 17.38 – 24.37 |
| 2029 | 19.28 | 41.81 | 0 | 14.52 – 24.04 |
| 2034 | 15.31 | 47.16 | 0 | 8.31 – 22.31 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.4bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 22.4bn | 24.4bn | 20.7bn | 21.7bn – 23.1bn |
| 2029 | 25.5bn | 29bn | 22.4bn | 23.6bn – 27.3bn |
| 2031 | 28.5bn | 33bn | 24.6bn | 25.3bn – 31.7bn |
| 2036 | 36.1bn | 42.5bn | 30.6bn | 28.6bn – 43.6bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.2(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.33 | 4.85 | 2.01 | 3.02 – 3.64 |
| 2029 | 2.76 | 5.39 | 0.47 | 2.19 – 3.33 |
| 2031 | 2.18 | 5.59 | -0.77 | 1.44 – 2.92 |
| 2036 | 0.75 | 5.56 | -3.42 | -0.22 – 1.71 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed544.99(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 688.51 | 762.98 | 623.97 | 667.17 – 709.85 |
| 2029 | 769.87 | 898.86 | 658.08 | 712.92 – 826.83 |
| 2031 | 851.23 | 1k | 706.91 | 754.58 – 947.88 |
| 2036 | 1.1k | 1.3k | 850.53 | 835.87 – 1.3k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed49.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 50.29 | 57.97 | 41.44 | 48.31 – 52.28 |
| 2029 | 52.28 | 65.58 | 36.94 | 47.72 – 56.84 |
| 2031 | 54.27 | 71.43 | 34.46 | 47.28 – 61.25 |
| 2036 | 59.23 | 83.51 | 31.22 | 46.02 – 72.45 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed31.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31.61 | 40.62 | 22.59 | 29.72 – 33.49 |
| 2027 | 31.39 | 47.01 | 15.77 | 27.49 – 35.29 |
| 2029 | 31.17 | 51.33 | 11.01 | 25.59 – 36.75 |
| 2034 | 30.62 | 59.13 | 2.11 | 21.36 – 39.88 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.61(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.43 | 11.64 | 4.98 | 7.58 – 9.27 |
| 2029 | 8.85 | 14.42 | 2.87 | 7.19 – 10.51 |
| 2031 | 9.27 | 16.46 | 1.56 | 6.93 – 11.6 |
| 2036 | 10.32 | 20.49 | -0.59 | 6.41 – 14.22 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22.22(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.01 | 26.65 | 17.99 | 20.99 – 23.02 |
| 2027 | 21.76 | 29.8 | 14.79 | 19.57 – 23.95 |
| 2029 | 21.51 | 31.89 | 12.51 | 18.31 – 24.72 |
| 2034 | 20.89 | 35.57 | 8.16 | 15.45 – 26.33 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed32m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 32.4m | 33.9m | 31m | 31.4m – 33.4m |
| 2029 | 33.3m | 34.9m | 31.9m | 30.9m – 35.8m |
| 2031 | 34.3m | 36m | 32.7m | 30.4m – 38.2m |
| 2036 | 36.7m | 39.1m | 34.5m | 29.1m – 44.3m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.16(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.23 | 13.92 | -8.29 | -0.37 – 2.84 |
| 2027 | 1.57 | 15 | -10 | -1.25 – 4.4 |
| 2029 | 1.92 | 15 | -10 | -1.78 – 5.62 |
| 2034 | 2.78 | 15 | -10 | -2.68 – 8.24 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.04(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.96 | 3.3 | 2.63 | 2.86 – 3.06 |
| 2028 | 2.81 | 3.39 | 2.22 | 2.58 – 3.03 |
| 2030 | 2.65 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 2.32 – 2.98 |
| 2035 | 2.26 | 3.32 | 1.19 | 1.73 – 2.78 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MDG · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
