PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal
World/Forecast/Maldives

Forecast

Maldives — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
1.14

Maldives: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-17.6
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-15.728.25-30-20.86 – -10.58
2029-11.9529.55-30-21 – -2.91
2031-8.1930-30-19.78 – 3.4
20361.2230-30-14.44 – 16.88

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed78.21(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202580.37107.9356.4975.15 – 85.6
202784.69132.4243.3373.81 – 95.58
202989.0115035.6173.09 – 104.93
203499.8115024.2971.39 – 128.23

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed7.1bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20278.5bn10.7bn6.7bn8.1bn – 8.9bn
20299.5bn13.3bn6.3bn8.6bn – 10.5bn
203110.6bn15.4bn6.4bn9.1bn – 12bn
203613.1bn20bn7.2bn10.2bn – 16bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.49(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.1412-10-2.04 – 4.33
2029-3.5212-10-9.17 – 2.14
2031-8.1812-10-10 – -0.44
2036-1012-10-10 – 1.62

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed13.4k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202721.2k26.8k16.3k20.2k – 22.2k
202925.4k35.2k16.9k23k – 27.8k
203129.6k42.2k18.7k25.7k – 33.5k
203640.1k58k24.7k31.6k – 48.7k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed129.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027136.32188.0576.64126.18 – 146.46
2029150.17239.7646.79129.17 – 171.16
2031164.01279.6830.55133.09 – 194.92
2036198.623009.87141.67 – 255.56

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed78.26(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202578.9690.7567.1675.89 – 82.02
202780.35100.7859.9273.36 – 87.33
202981.74108.1155.3671.16 – 92.31
203485.22122.5247.9165.87 – 104.56

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed1.4(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.645.42-0.331.99 – 3.3
20291.946.75-3.210.78 – 3.1
20311.247.45-5-0.23 – 2.72
2036-0.518.27-5-2.61 – 1.6

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed34.84(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202535.3348.4623.9632.89 – 37.77
202735.8558.5916.1530.89 – 40.82
202936.3765.7210.9429.27 – 43.48
203437.68701.725.72 – 49.63

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed527.8k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027441.8k517.4k371.5k428.1k – 455.5k
2029449.5k580.5k327.8k416.2k – 482.7k
2031457.2k626.3k300.1k405.3k – 509.1k
2036476.4k715.6k254.3k377.6k – 575.2k

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed3.03(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2025-0.5815-10-8.45 – 7.29
2027-7.6115-10-10 – 6.36
2029-1015-10-10 – 8.36
2034-1015-10-10 – 15

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed4.51(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20264.315.053.574.13 – 4.5
20283.915.192.633.53 – 4.3
20303.515.161.862.98 – 4.04
20352.514.840.171.75 – 3.26

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MDV · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs