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World/Forecast/Mexico

Forecast

Mexico — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
1.36

Mexico: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed-0.4

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-0.592.4-3.57-1.21 – 0.04
2029-0.974.2-6.14-2.07 – 0.14
2031-1.355.33-8.02-2.82 – 0.12
2036-2.297.14-11.73-4.59 – -0

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed36.7(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202536.6342.6731.435.18 – 38.08
202736.4946.9527.4233.24 – 39.73
202936.3549.8524.6431.51 – 41.18
203435.9955.0819.4427.5 – 44.47

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed1.9T(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.2T2.6T1.9T2.1T – 2.3T
20292.4T3T1.9T2.2T – 2.6T
20312.6T3.4T2T2.3T – 2.9T
20363.2T4.3T2.2T2.5T – 3.9T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed1.43(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.363.85-0.80.92 – 1.79
20290.745.05-3-0.03 – 1.5
20310.125.69-4.71-0.89 – 1.13
2036-1.436.44-8.26-2.98 – 0.11

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed14.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202716.3k19k13.9k15.7k – 16.8k
202917.6k22.4k13.5k16.2k – 19k
203119k25.2k13.7k16.8k – 21.3k
203622.5k31.2k14.9k17.8k – 27.1k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed62.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202763.7669.657.0261.78 – 65.74
202965.8875.9954.2161.01 – 70.76
20316881.0652.9460.28 – 75.72
203673.3191.775258.1 – 88.51

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed37.89(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202537.8445.7729.9236.03 – 39.66
202737.7651.4924.0333.85 – 41.68
202937.6855.419.9531.95 – 43.41
203437.4762.5412.427.64 – 47.3

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed4.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.067.120.783.32 – 4.8
20294.29.5-1.482.82 – 5.57
20314.3411.18-2.992.48 – 6.2
20364.6914.36-51.79 – 7.58

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed24.12(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202524.6327.0222.5623.87 – 25.39
202725.8730.0122.2723.95 – 27.78
202927.132.4522.4724.03 – 30.18
203430.1937.7623.6323.93 – 36.46

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed130.9m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027133.8m140.1m128m129.7m – 138m
2029135m141.3m129m125m – 145m
2031136.1m142.5m130.1m120.7m – 151.6m
2036139m145.5m132.9m110.1m – 167.8m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed0.1(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20250.463.8-2.050.02 – 0.89
20271.297.08-3.050.51 – 2.08
20292.139.6-3.481.02 – 3.23
20344.2114.78-3.712.22 – 6.21

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed2.67(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.463.071.852.33 – 2.59
20291.983.030.921.72 – 2.23
20311.52.860.131.17 – 1.82
20360.292.2200 – 0.75

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MEX · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs