Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Marshall Islands: forward projections across 10 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.44 | 30 | -30 | -4.41 – 11.28 |
| 2029 | 5.51 | 30 | -30 | -8.24 – 19.27 |
| 2031 | 7.59 | 30 | -30 | -10.43 – 25.62 |
| 2036 | 12.78 | 30 | -30 | -13.9 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed42.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42.47 | 52.79 | 33.53 | 40.32 – 44.62 |
| 2027 | 43.28 | 61.15 | 27.8 | 38.65 – 47.91 |
| 2029 | 44.1 | 67.16 | 24.11 | 37.27 – 50.92 |
| 2034 | 46.13 | 78.75 | 17.86 | 34.09 – 58.17 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed290.1m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 358.8m | 383.4m | 337.5m | 347.7m – 369.9m |
| 2029 | 400.4m | 443m | 363.5m | 370.8m – 430m |
| 2031 | 442m | 497m | 394.4m | 391.8m – 492.2m |
| 2036 | 546m | 623.8m | 478.7m | 432.8m – 659.3m |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.5(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.18 | 12 | -3.29 | 2.68 – 5.68 |
| 2029 | 5.46 | 12 | -7.47 | 2.71 – 8.21 |
| 2031 | 6.74 | 12 | -9.95 | 2.99 – 10.49 |
| 2036 | 9.95 | 12 | -10 | 3.82 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.7k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.3k | 11k | 9.7k | 10k – 10.6k |
| 2029 | 11.9k | 13.1k | 10.8k | 11k – 12.8k |
| 2031 | 13.5k | 15.1k | 12k | 11.9k – 15k |
| 2036 | 17.4k | 19.7k | 15.4k | 13.8k – 21k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 15.22 | 19.74 | 10.01 | 14.28 – 16.16 |
| 2029 | 12.27 | 20.08 | 3.25 | 10.48 – 14.06 |
| 2031 | 9.31 | 19.4 | 0 | 7.01 – 11.61 |
| 2036 | 1.92 | 16.2 | 0 | 0 – 4.43 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed81.74(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 79.9 | 119.98 | 39.82 | 72.48 – 87.31 |
| 2027 | 76.2 | 145.62 | 6.78 | 61.92 – 90.49 |
| 2029 | 72.51 | 150 | 0 | 52.99 – 92.02 |
| 2034 | 63.27 | 150 | 0 | 33.74 – 92.79 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.15 | 12.66 | 3.32 | 7.02 – 9.28 |
| 2029 | 10.81 | 18.62 | 2.45 | 8.56 – 13.06 |
| 2031 | 13.47 | 23.55 | 2.67 | 10.16 – 16.79 |
| 2036 | 20.12 | 34.38 | 4.85 | 13.74 – 26.5 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22.45(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.36 | 55.72 | 0 | 17.23 – 27.48 |
| 2027 | 21.82 | 70 | 0 | 12.51 – 31.12 |
| 2029 | 21.28 | 70 | 0 | 8.92 – 33.64 |
| 2034 | 19.94 | 70 | 0 | 1.67 – 38.2 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed37.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 35.4k | 37.1k | 33.9k | 34.3k – 36.5k |
| 2029 | 34.3k | 35.9k | 32.8k | 31.8k – 36.9k |
| 2031 | 33.2k | 34.8k | 31.8k | 29.5k – 37k |
| 2036 | 30.5k | 31.9k | 29.1k | 24.2k – 36.8k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MHL · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
