Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Mongolia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-7.9
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -7.21 | 9.2 | -23.63 | -10.68 – -3.75 |
| 2029 | -5.84 | 22.6 | -30 | -11.92 – 0.25 |
| 2031 | -4.46 | 30 | -30 | -12.31 – 3.39 |
| 2036 | -1.02 | 30 | -30 | -11.78 – 9.74 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed68.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 70.81 | 82.5 | 60.68 | 68.01 – 73.61 |
| 2027 | 74.99 | 95.24 | 57.44 | 68.5 – 81.48 |
| 2029 | 79.18 | 105.32 | 56.52 | 69.11 – 89.25 |
| 2034 | 89.64 | 126.6 | 57.6 | 70.01 – 109.26 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.8bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 30.4bn | 33.3bn | 27.9bn | 29.4bn – 31.3bn |
| 2029 | 35.3bn | 40.3bn | 31bn | 32.7bn – 37.9bn |
| 2031 | 40.2bn | 46.7bn | 34.6bn | 35.6bn – 44.8bn |
| 2036 | 52.5bn | 61.6bn | 44.6bn | 41.6bn – 63.4bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.12(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.58 | 10.27 | 1.52 | 4.71 – 6.45 |
| 2029 | 6.16 | 12 | -0.88 | 4.51 – 7.8 |
| 2031 | 6.73 | 12 | -2.36 | 4.44 – 9.01 |
| 2036 | 8.16 | 12 | -4.69 | 4.39 – 11.94 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.8k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.3k | 9.2k | 7.6k | 8.1k – 8.6k |
| 2029 | 9.5k | 11k | 8.3k | 8.8k – 10.2k |
| 2031 | 10.8k | 12.6k | 9.1k | 9.5k – 12k |
| 2036 | 13.8k | 16.4k | 11.5k | 10.9k – 16.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed43.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 38.64 | 56.47 | 18.06 | 35.28 – 42 |
| 2029 | 28.52 | 59.41 | 0 | 22.4 – 34.64 |
| 2031 | 18.4 | 58.27 | 0 | 10.79 – 26 |
| 2036 | 0 | 56.39 | 0 | 0 – 8.84 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed69.73(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71 | 85.64 | 56.35 | 67.62 – 74.38 |
| 2027 | 73.53 | 98.9 | 48.17 | 66.12 – 80.95 |
| 2029 | 76.07 | 108.82 | 43.32 | 64.97 – 87.17 |
| 2034 | 82.41 | 128.72 | 36.1 | 62.13 – 102.68 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.2(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.84 | 16.28 | -3.28 | 4.63 – 9.04 |
| 2029 | 5.16 | 21.51 | -5 | 1.28 – 9.03 |
| 2031 | 3.48 | 24.59 | -5 | -1.48 – 8.44 |
| 2036 | -0.72 | 29.14 | -5 | -5 – 6.06 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed27.17(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27.1 | 34.23 | 20.92 | 25.65 – 28.55 |
| 2027 | 27.09 | 39.43 | 16.39 | 24.02 – 30.15 |
| 2029 | 27.08 | 43.01 | 13.27 | 22.63 – 31.52 |
| 2034 | 27.05 | 49.59 | 7.52 | 19.5 – 34.6 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.5m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.6m | 3.8m | 3.4m | 3.5m – 3.7m |
| 2029 | 3.7m | 3.8m | 3.5m | 3.4m – 3.9m |
| 2031 | 3.7m | 3.9m | 3.5m | 3.3m – 4.1m |
| 2036 | 3.8m | 4m | 3.6m | 3m – 4.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.01(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.43 | 15 | -7.28 | 2.41 – 6.46 |
| 2027 | 5.53 | 15 | -10 | 1.89 – 9.18 |
| 2029 | 6.63 | 15 | -10 | 1.74 – 11.53 |
| 2034 | 9.38 | 15 | -10 | 1.71 – 15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.23(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.53 | 5.96 | 3.09 | 4.24 – 4.82 |
| 2029 | 3.58 | 6.07 | 1.09 | 3.03 – 4.14 |
| 2031 | 2.64 | 5.85 | 0 | 1.93 – 3.34 |
| 2036 | 0.27 | 4.82 | 0 | 0 – 1.13 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MNG · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
