Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Northern Mariana Islands: forward projections across 6 macro indicators, horizons 2023, 2025, 2027, 2029, 2032, 2034. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13.75 | 46.89 | 0 | 8.79 – 18.7 |
| 2025 | 0 | 57.4 | 0 | 0 – 8.25 |
| 2027 | 0 | 74.11 | 0 | 0 – 10.67 |
| 2032 | 0 | 104.81 | 0 | 0 – 15.13 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.1bn(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1.1bn | 1.6bn | 627.6m | 995.7m – 1.2bn |
| 2025 | 1bn | 1.9bn | 252.8m | 871m – 1.2bn |
| 2027 | 978.8m | 2.1bn | 0 | 763.3m – 1.2bn |
| 2032 | 859.4m | 2.5bn | 0 | 527.8m – 1.2bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.64(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 12 | -10 | 2.57 – 12 |
| 2025 | 12 | 12 | -10 | -4.57 – 12 |
| 2027 | 12 | 12 | -10 | -9.61 – 12 |
| 2032 | 12 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.8k(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23.6k | 34k | 14.5k | 22k – 25.2k |
| 2025 | 23.3k | 41.3k | 7.6k | 20k – 26.5k |
| 2027 | 22.9k | 46.3k | 2.7k | 18.3k – 27.5k |
| 2032 | 22.1k | 55.1k | 0 | 14.7k – 29.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed70.89(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 70.62 | 88.89 | 52.35 | 66.69 – 74.55 |
| 2025 | 70.07 | 101.71 | 38.43 | 61.86 – 78.28 |
| 2027 | 69.52 | 110.36 | 28.68 | 57.71 – 81.33 |
| 2032 | 68.15 | 125.91 | 10.39 | 48.4 – 87.89 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed44.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44.5k | 46.6k | 42.6k | 43.1k – 45.9k |
| 2027 | 43.6k | 45.6k | 41.6k | 40.3k – 46.8k |
| 2029 | 42.6k | 44.6k | 40.7k | 37.8k – 47.4k |
| 2034 | 40.2k | 42.1k | 38.5k | 31.9k – 48.6k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MNP · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
