Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Mozambique: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -30 | -0.72 | -30 | -30 – -23.54 |
| 2029 | -30 | 20.72 | -30 | -30 – -18.21 |
| 2031 | -30 | 30 | -30 | -30 – -14.24 |
| 2036 | -30 | 30 | -30 | -30 – -6.3 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed42.84(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43.53 | 56.85 | 31.99 | 40.93 – 46.13 |
| 2027 | 44.93 | 67.99 | 24.94 | 39.48 – 50.38 |
| 2029 | 46.32 | 76.1 | 20.52 | 38.36 – 54.28 |
| 2034 | 49.81 | 91.92 | 13.32 | 35.82 – 63.79 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 24bn | 26.8bn | 21.5bn | 23.2bn – 24.7bn |
| 2029 | 25.9bn | 30.8bn | 21.7bn | 24bn – 27.8bn |
| 2031 | 27.8bn | 34.1bn | 22.3bn | 24.6bn – 31bn |
| 2036 | 32.6bn | 41.5bn | 24.8bn | 25.8bn – 39.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.15(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -0.2 | 4.36 | -4.15 | -0.98 – 0.58 |
| 2029 | -1.81 | 6.09 | -8.67 | -3.22 – -0.41 |
| 2031 | -3.43 | 6.77 | -10 | -5.41 – -1.45 |
| 2036 | -7.47 | 6.96 | -10 | -10 – -3.87 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed656.78(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 638.69 | 727.88 | 561.39 | 617.85 – 659.52 |
| 2029 | 659.11 | 813.58 | 525.22 | 609.08 – 709.13 |
| 2031 | 679.52 | 878.95 | 506.68 | 601.42 – 757.63 |
| 2036 | 730.57 | 1k | 486.13 | 579.02 – 882.11 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed106.1(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 105.33 | 124.67 | 83.03 | 100.68 – 109.99 |
| 2029 | 103.8 | 137.29 | 65.17 | 93.67 – 113.94 |
| 2031 | 102.27 | 145.5 | 52.4 | 87.44 – 117.1 |
| 2036 | 98.45 | 159.58 | 27.91 | 73.29 – 123.6 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed52.82(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 51.39 | 76.99 | 25.79 | 46.65 – 56.13 |
| 2027 | 48.51 | 92.86 | 4.17 | 39.4 – 57.63 |
| 2029 | 45.64 | 102.89 | 0 | 33.23 – 58.05 |
| 2034 | 38.46 | 119.42 | 0 | 19.91 – 57 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.08(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.47 | 9.72 | -1.16 | 3.23 – 5.71 |
| 2029 | 4.47 | 13.57 | -5 | 2.24 – 6.7 |
| 2031 | 4.47 | 16.22 | -5 | 1.51 – 7.43 |
| 2036 | 4.47 | 21.09 | -5 | 0.07 – 8.87 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed34.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 36.5m | 38.2m | 34.9m | 35.4m – 37.7m |
| 2029 | 37.6m | 39.4m | 36m | 34.8m – 40.4m |
| 2031 | 38.7m | 40.5m | 37m | 34.3m – 43.1m |
| 2036 | 41.4m | 43.4m | 39.6m | 32.8m – 50m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-1.24(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -1.24 | 3.39 | -4.72 | -1.84 – -0.64 |
| 2027 | -1.41 | 6.62 | -7.43 | -2.48 – -0.34 |
| 2029 | -1.57 | 8.79 | -9.34 | -2.99 – -0.15 |
| 2034 | -1.98 | 12.68 | -10 | -4.12 – 0.17 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.63(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.96 | 8.05 | 5.87 | 6.68 – 7.24 |
| 2028 | 7.63 | 9.52 | 5.74 | 6.97 – 8.28 |
| 2030 | 8.3 | 10.74 | 5.86 | 7.26 – 9.33 |
| 2035 | 9.97 | 13.42 | 6.52 | 7.84 – 12.09 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MOZ · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs