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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Mozambique

Forecast

Mozambique — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
-0.2

Mozambique: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-43
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-30-0.72-30-30 – -23.54
2029-3020.72-30-30 – -18.21
2031-3030-30-30 – -14.24
2036-3030-30-30 – -6.3

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed42.84(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202543.5356.8531.9940.93 – 46.13
202744.9367.9924.9439.48 – 50.38
202946.3276.120.5238.36 – 54.28
203449.8191.9213.3235.82 – 63.79

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed22.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202724bn26.8bn21.5bn23.2bn – 24.7bn
202925.9bn30.8bn21.7bn24bn – 27.8bn
203127.8bn34.1bn22.3bn24.6bn – 31bn
203632.6bn41.5bn24.8bn25.8bn – 39.3bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed2.15(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-0.24.36-4.15-0.98 – 0.58
2029-1.816.09-8.67-3.22 – -0.41
2031-3.436.77-10-5.41 – -1.45
2036-7.476.96-10-10 – -3.87

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed656.78(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027638.69727.88561.39617.85 – 659.52
2029659.11813.58525.22609.08 – 709.13
2031679.52878.95506.68601.42 – 757.63
2036730.571k486.13579.02 – 882.11

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed106.1(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027105.33124.6783.03100.68 – 109.99
2029103.8137.2965.1793.67 – 113.94
2031102.27145.552.487.44 – 117.1
203698.45159.5827.9173.29 – 123.6

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed52.82(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202551.3976.9925.7946.65 – 56.13
202748.5192.864.1739.4 – 57.63
202945.64102.89033.23 – 58.05
203438.46119.42019.91 – 57

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed4.08(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.479.72-1.163.23 – 5.71
20294.4713.57-52.24 – 6.7
20314.4716.22-51.51 – 7.43
20364.4721.09-50.07 – 8.87

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed34.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202736.5m38.2m34.9m35.4m – 37.7m
202937.6m39.4m36m34.8m – 40.4m
203138.7m40.5m37m34.3m – 43.1m
203641.4m43.4m39.6m32.8m – 50m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed-1.24(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2025-1.243.39-4.72-1.84 – -0.64
2027-1.416.62-7.43-2.48 – -0.34
2029-1.578.79-9.34-2.99 – -0.15
2034-1.9812.68-10-4.12 – 0.17

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed6.63(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20266.968.055.876.68 – 7.24
20287.639.525.746.97 – 8.28
20308.310.745.867.26 – 9.33
20359.9713.426.527.84 – 12.09

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MOZ · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs