Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Malawi: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2033, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -15.86 | -11.69 | -20.04 | -16.97 – -14.76 |
| 2029 | -16.79 | -9.56 | -24.02 | -19.07 – -14.51 |
| 2031 | -17.72 | -8.39 | -27.04 | -21.04 – -14.39 |
| 2036 | -20.03 | -6.84 | -30 | -25.93 – -14.13 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed11.25(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11.06 | 13.92 | 8.58 | 10.47 – 11.64 |
| 2026 | 10.68 | 15.64 | 6.39 | 9.46 – 11.91 |
| 2028 | 10.31 | 16.71 | 4.77 | 8.57 – 12.05 |
| 2033 | 9.38 | 18.42 | 1.54 | 6.58 – 12.17 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed11.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 19.2bn | 23bn | 16bn | 18.5bn – 20bn |
| 2029 | 22bn | 28.5bn | 16.4bn | 20.2bn – 23.9bn |
| 2031 | 24.8bn | 33.2bn | 17.5bn | 21.8bn – 27.8bn |
| 2036 | 31.8bn | 43.6bn | 21.5bn | 25.2bn – 38.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.67(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.27 | 5.71 | -0.71 | 1.66 – 2.88 |
| 2029 | 2.41 | 8.38 | -2.75 | 1.3 – 3.52 |
| 2031 | 2.56 | 10.25 | -4.12 | 1.07 – 4.04 |
| 2036 | 2.91 | 12 | -6.52 | 0.63 – 5.19 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed522.57(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 753.99 | 897.88 | 629.29 | 724.8 – 783.19 |
| 2029 | 810.07 | 1.1k | 594.08 | 741.52 – 878.62 |
| 2031 | 866.15 | 1.2k | 587.31 | 758.55 – 973.74 |
| 2036 | 1k | 1.5k | 612.01 | 791.16 – 1.2k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed74.5(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 80.04 | 93.53 | 64.46 | 76.68 – 83.39 |
| 2029 | 91.11 | 114.48 | 64.13 | 83.14 – 99.07 |
| 2031 | 102.18 | 132.35 | 67.35 | 89.36 – 114.99 |
| 2036 | 129.85 | 172.53 | 80.61 | 102.51 – 157.19 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed31.19(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.09 | 33.18 | 29 | 30.13 – 32.05 |
| 2026 | 30.88 | 34.5 | 27.26 | 28.6 – 33.17 |
| 2028 | 30.68 | 35.35 | 26 | 27.19 – 34.16 |
| 2033 | 30.16 | 36.77 | 23.55 | 23.91 – 36.42 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed32.18(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 22.96 | 35.56 | 9.45 | 19.79 – 26.12 |
| 2029 | 17.36 | 39.19 | -5 | 11.68 – 23.03 |
| 2031 | 11.76 | 39.95 | -5 | 4.57 – 18.95 |
| 2036 | -2.24 | 37.63 | -5 | -5 – 6.95 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.7m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 24.2m | 25.4m | 23.2m | 23.5m – 25m |
| 2029 | 25m | 26.9m | 23.2m | 23.2m – 26.9m |
| 2031 | 25.8m | 28.3m | 23.5m | 22.8m – 28.7m |
| 2036 | 27.7m | 31.2m | 24.4m | 21.9m – 33.4m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-1.78(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -3.57 | 15 | -10 | -6.52 – -0.63 |
| 2027 | -7.33 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -1.98 |
| 2029 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -2.74 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 0.73 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.07(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.93 | 5.43 | 4.43 | 4.77 – 5.08 |
| 2028 | 4.64 | 5.5 | 3.78 | 4.28 – 4.99 |
| 2030 | 4.35 | 5.46 | 3.24 | 3.83 – 4.87 |
| 2035 | 3.63 | 5.2 | 2.05 | 2.81 – 4.45 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/MWI · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
