Forecast

Nigeria — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

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Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

4.24

Nigeria: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 1961, 1963, 1965, 1970, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Exports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
1961	9.24	9.73	8.82	8.96 – 9.53
1963	9.24	9.73	8.82	8.56 – 9.93
1965	9.24	9.73	8.82	8.19 – 10.29
1970	9.24	9.73	8.82	7.32 – 11.16

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	343.8bn	573.9bn	144.4bn	310.9bn – 376.7bn
2029	263bn	661.6bn	0	202.9bn – 323.1bn
2031	182.2bn	696.8bn	0	106.4bn – 258bn
2036	0	727.7bn	0	0 – 86.6bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.24	7.21	1.66	3.67 – 4.8
2029	4.58	9.74	0.11	3.5 – 5.66
2031	4.92	11.58	-0.85	3.42 – 6.43
2036	5.78	12	-2.38	3.29 – 8.28

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	1.4k	2.4k	505.83	1.2k – 1.5k
2029	938.82	2.7k	0	686.38 – 1.2k
2031	500.15	2.7k	0	192.41 – 807.9
2036	0	3.2k	0	0 – 378.79

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	34.48	40.21	27.85	33.04 – 35.91
2029	38.83	48.77	27.35	35.43 – 42.22
2031	43.18	56.01	28.37	37.75 – 48.6
2036	54.05	72.2	33.11	42.61 – 65.49

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
1961	16.92	17.75	16.1	16.4 – 17.45
1963	16.92	17.75	16.1	15.67 – 18.18
1965	16.92	17.75	16.1	15 – 18.85
1970	16.92	17.75	16.1	13.41 – 20.44

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	13.84	28.61	-1.99	10.34 – 17.33
2029	4.04	29.62	-5	-1.83 – 9.9
2031	-5	28.03	-5	-5 – 2.72
2036	-5	41.71	-5	-5 – 6.15

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	241.3m	252.7m	230.7m	233.8m – 248.8m
2029	246.8m	258.5m	236m	228.5m – 265.1m
2031	252.3m	264.2m	241.2m	223.7m – 281m
2036	266.1m	278.6m	254.4m	210.9m – 321.2m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	1.63	8.65	-3.63	0.73 – 2.54
2027	3.2	15	-5.91	1.53 – 4.87
2029	4.77	15	-6.99	2.43 – 7.11
2034	8.69	15	-7.95	4.53 – 12.85

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	2.46	3.62	1.3	2.25 – 2.68
2028	1.26	3.26	0	0.89 – 1.62
2030	0.05	2.64	0	0 – 0.53
2035	0	3.66	0	0 – 0.72

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

2027	7.19	11.38	3	6.22 – 8.16
2029	9.96	17.22	2.71	8.01 – 11.92
2031	12.74	22.11	3.37	9.81 – 15.67
2036	19.68	30	6.44	13.83 – 25.53