Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Nicaragua: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed6.4
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.11 | 17.88 | -3.66 | 4.8 – 9.42 |
| 2029 | 8.53 | 27.18 | -10.13 | 4.31 – 12.74 |
| 2031 | 9.95 | 30 | -14.13 | 4.24 – 15.66 |
| 2036 | 13.5 | 30 | -20.56 | 4.39 – 22.6 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed40.46(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40.84 | 48.61 | 34.11 | 39.08 – 42.6 |
| 2027 | 41.59 | 55.05 | 29.93 | 37.68 – 45.51 |
| 2029 | 42.35 | 59.72 | 27.29 | 36.48 – 48.22 |
| 2034 | 44.23 | 68.8 | 22.94 | 33.65 – 54.82 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed19.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 25.8bn | 27.4bn | 24.5bn | 25bn – 26.6bn |
| 2029 | 29.8bn | 32.6bn | 27.5bn | 27.6bn – 32bn |
| 2031 | 33.9bn | 37.4bn | 30.8bn | 30bn – 37.7bn |
| 2036 | 43.9bn | 48.9bn | 39.6bn | 34.8bn – 53bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.59(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.61 | 9.79 | -1.74 | 2.53 – 4.7 |
| 2029 | 3.09 | 12 | -6.17 | 1.16 – 5.02 |
| 2031 | 2.57 | 12 | -9.39 | 0.07 – 5.08 |
| 2036 | 1.27 | 12 | -10 | -2.19 – 4.73 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.8k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.8k | 4.1k | 3.5k | 3.7k – 3.9k |
| 2029 | 4.4k | 4.9k | 3.9k | 4.1k – 4.7k |
| 2031 | 5k | 5.6k | 4.4k | 4.4k – 5.5k |
| 2036 | 6.5k | 7.4k | 5.7k | 5.1k – 7.8k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed33.2(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 32.61 | 39.3 | 24.88 | 31.05 – 34.16 |
| 2029 | 31.42 | 43.01 | 18.04 | 28.13 – 34.71 |
| 2031 | 30.23 | 45.19 | 12.96 | 25.51 – 34.95 |
| 2036 | 27.26 | 48.42 | 2.84 | 19.64 – 34.88 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed58.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59.49 | 71.52 | 47.47 | 56.7 – 62.29 |
| 2027 | 62.36 | 83.18 | 41.53 | 56.18 – 68.54 |
| 2029 | 65.22 | 92.11 | 38.33 | 55.89 – 74.55 |
| 2034 | 72.38 | 110.4 | 34.35 | 54.98 – 89.78 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.62(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.39 | 11.25 | -2.96 | 2.8 – 5.98 |
| 2029 | 6.35 | 18.23 | -5 | 3.41 – 9.29 |
| 2031 | 8.31 | 23.65 | -5 | 4.25 – 12.38 |
| 2036 | 13.21 | 34.9 | -5 | 6.29 – 20.13 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22.91(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.75 | 30.05 | 16.42 | 21.34 – 24.15 |
| 2027 | 22.6 | 35.25 | 11.63 | 19.7 – 25.49 |
| 2029 | 22.45 | 38.78 | 8.29 | 18.32 – 26.57 |
| 2034 | 22.07 | 45.16 | 2.06 | 15.24 – 28.9 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.9m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.9m | 7.2m | 6.6m | 6.6m – 7.1m |
| 2029 | 7m | 7.4m | 6.7m | 6.5m – 7.5m |
| 2031 | 7.2m | 7.6m | 6.7m | 6.4m – 8m |
| 2036 | 7.6m | 8.2m | 7m | 6m – 9.1m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.64(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.21 | 12.03 | -6.91 | -0.16 – 2.58 |
| 2027 | 0.54 | 15 | -10 | -1.85 – 2.93 |
| 2029 | -0.13 | 15 | -10 | -3.23 – 2.98 |
| 2034 | -1.8 | 15 | -10 | -6.36 – 2.77 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.04(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.23 | 4.11 | 0.36 | 1.91 – 2.55 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 4.54 | 0 | 0.74 – 1.85 |
| 2031 | 0.36 | 4.55 | 0 | 0 – 1.08 |
| 2036 | 0 | 5.93 | 0 | 0 – 1.07 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/NIC · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
