Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Norway: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed14.3
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 15.82 | 30 | 0.19 | 12.38 – 19.26 |
| 2029 | 18.85 | 30 | -8.21 | 12.42 – 25.28 |
| 2031 | 21.89 | 30 | -13.05 | 13.01 – 30 |
| 2036 | 29.48 | 30 | -19.94 | 14.68 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed47.49(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49.77 | 64.36 | 37.12 | 46.89 – 52.65 |
| 2027 | 54.32 | 79.6 | 32.41 | 48.1 – 60.54 |
| 2029 | 58.87 | 91.51 | 30.59 | 49.5 – 68.24 |
| 2034 | 70.25 | 116.4 | 30.25 | 52.42 – 88.08 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed483.6bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 626.4bn | 791.7bn | 483.2bn | 596.8bn – 656.1bn |
| 2029 | 692.9bn | 979.1bn | 444.8bn | 625.5bn – 760.2bn |
| 2031 | 759.3bn | 1.1T | 439.1bn | 654.6bn – 864bn |
| 2036 | 925.3bn | 1.4T | 472.5bn | 715.1bn – 1.1T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.1(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.16 | 4.75 | -1.95 | 0.55 – 1.78 |
| 2029 | 0.44 | 6.65 | -4.95 | -0.65 – 1.52 |
| 2031 | -0.29 | 7.74 | -7.25 | -1.71 – 1.13 |
| 2036 | -2.11 | 9.24 | -10 | -4.34 – 0.12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed86.8k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 110k | 140.5k | 83.6k | 104.6k – 115.4k |
| 2029 | 120.3k | 173.1k | 74.4k | 108.2k – 132.3k |
| 2031 | 130.5k | 198.8k | 71.3k | 111.9k – 149.1k |
| 2036 | 156.1k | 250k | 72.5k | 119.7k – 192.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed42.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 43.87 | 54.44 | 31.68 | 41.54 – 46.2 |
| 2029 | 45.81 | 64.11 | 24.7 | 40.8 – 50.83 |
| 2031 | 47.76 | 71.38 | 20.5 | 40.3 – 55.21 |
| 2036 | 52.62 | 86.02 | 14.07 | 39.06 – 66.17 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed33.87(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33.72 | 39.63 | 27.81 | 32.28 – 35.17 |
| 2027 | 33.42 | 43.66 | 23.18 | 30.25 – 36.59 |
| 2029 | 33.12 | 46.34 | 19.91 | 28.45 – 37.8 |
| 2034 | 32.37 | 51.07 | 13.68 | 24.33 – 40.42 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.15(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.49 | 6.5 | 0.27 | 2.77 – 4.22 |
| 2029 | 3.91 | 9.13 | -1.67 | 2.57 – 5.26 |
| 2031 | 4.33 | 11.06 | -2.88 | 2.49 – 6.17 |
| 2036 | 5.38 | 14.9 | -4.82 | 2.41 – 8.36 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.99(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.8 | 27.96 | 16.46 | 20.57 – 23.03 |
| 2027 | 21.24 | 31.91 | 12 | 18.7 – 23.79 |
| 2029 | 20.68 | 34.46 | 8.74 | 17.06 – 24.3 |
| 2034 | 19.28 | 38.76 | 2.4 | 13.41 – 25.15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.6m | 5.9m | 5.4m | 5.5m – 5.8m |
| 2029 | 5.7m | 6m | 5.4m | 5.3m – 6.1m |
| 2031 | 5.7m | 6m | 5.5m | 5.1m – 6.4m |
| 2036 | 5.9m | 6.1m | 5.6m | 4.6m – 7.1m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.36(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.03 | 6.13 | -2.79 | 0.38 – 1.69 |
| 2027 | 0.51 | 9.35 | -6.11 | -0.64 – 1.67 |
| 2029 | -0 | 11.4 | -8.56 | -1.51 – 1.5 |
| 2034 | -1.3 | 14.83 | -10 | -3.52 – 0.93 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.64(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.31 | 5.6 | 3.02 | 4.04 – 4.58 |
| 2029 | 4.53 | 6.76 | 2.3 | 3.97 – 5.09 |
| 2031 | 4.75 | 7.63 | 1.87 | 3.93 – 5.57 |
| 2036 | 5.3 | 9.38 | 1.22 | 3.83 – 6.77 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/NOR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
