Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Nepal: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | 9.06 | 20.64 | -2.52 | 6.55 – 11.57 |
| 2029 | 13.39 | 30 | -6.67 | 8.65 – 18.12 |
| 2031 | 17.71 | 30 | -8.18 | 11.01 – 24.41 |
| 2036 | 28.52 | 30 | -8.1 | 16.48 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.5 | 9.56 | 5.71 | 7.08 – 7.91 |
| 2027 | 7.25 | 10.83 | 4.15 | 6.39 – 8.11 |
| 2029 | 7.01 | 11.63 | 3.01 | 5.79 – 8.23 |
| 2034 | 6.4 | 12.93 | 0.74 | 4.44 – 8.35 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 47.2bn | 50.7bn | 44.2bn | 45.8bn – 48.7bn |
| 2029 | 50.7bn | 56.8bn | 45.4bn | 46.9bn – 54.4bn |
| 2031 | 54.1bn | 62bn | 47.3bn | 48bn – 60.2bn |
| 2036 | 62.7bn | 73.8bn | 53.1bn | 49.7bn – 75.7bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.73 | 6.88 | -0.86 | 2 – 3.47 |
| 2029 | 2.09 | 9.28 | -4.14 | 0.79 – 3.39 |
| 2031 | 1.45 | 10.73 | -6.6 | -0.22 – 3.11 |
| 2036 | -0.16 | 12 | -10 | -2.51 – 2.19 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.6k | 1.7k | 1.5k | 1.5k – 1.6k |
| 2029 | 1.7k | 1.9k | 1.5k | 1.6k – 1.8k |
| 2031 | 1.8k | 2.1k | 1.6k | 1.6k – 2k |
| 2036 | 2.1k | 2.5k | 1.8k | 1.7k – 2.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 52.16 | 57.84 | 45.6 | 50.45 – 53.87 |
| 2029 | 57.28 | 67.12 | 45.93 | 53.02 – 61.54 |
| 2031 | 62.4 | 75.1 | 47.74 | 55.32 – 69.48 |
| 2036 | 75.2 | 93.17 | 54.47 | 59.6 – 90.8 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32.29 | 41.74 | 22.85 | 30.33 – 34.26 |
| 2027 | 31.07 | 47.43 | 14.7 | 27.07 – 35.06 |
| 2029 | 29.84 | 50.96 | 8.71 | 24.22 – 35.46 |
| 2034 | 26.77 | 56.64 | 0 | 17.91 – 35.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.81 | 6.86 | -1.53 | 1.87 – 3.76 |
| 2029 | 1.41 | 8.43 | -5 | -0.21 – 3.04 |
| 2031 | 0.01 | 9.07 | -5 | -2.07 – 2.1 |
| 2036 | -3.49 | 9.32 | -5 | -5 – -0.09 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23.07 | 27.54 | 19.19 | 22.06 – 24.08 |
| 2027 | 19.88 | 27.62 | 13.17 | 17.82 – 21.94 |
| 2029 | 16.69 | 26.68 | 8.02 | 13.92 – 19.45 |
| 2034 | 8.71 | 22.85 | 0 | 5.3 – 12.12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 29.6m | 31m | 28.3m | 28.7m – 30.5m |
| 2029 | 29.6m | 31m | 28.3m | 27.4m – 31.8m |
| 2031 | 29.6m | 31m | 28.3m | 26.2m – 32.9m |
| 2036 | 29.5m | 30.9m | 28.2m | 23.4m – 35.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.83 | 10.61 | -1.26 | 2.92 – 4.74 |
| 2027 | 4.33 | 15 | -4.48 | 2.66 – 6.01 |
| 2029 | 4.83 | 15 | -6.54 | 2.55 – 7.12 |
| 2034 | 6.09 | 15 | -10 | 2.43 – 9.74 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.94 | 11.14 | 8.75 | 9.6 – 10.28 |
| 2028 | 8.9 | 10.97 | 6.82 | 8.15 – 9.64 |
| 2030 | 7.85 | 10.52 | 5.17 | 6.81 – 8.89 |
| 2035 | 5.23 | 9.02 | 1.45 | 3.82 – 6.65 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/NPL · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
