Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Nauru: forward projections across 9 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed2.3
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.17 | 7.42 | -3.09 | 1.06 – 3.28 |
| 2029 | 1.91 | 11.01 | -7.19 | -0.04 – 3.86 |
| 2031 | 1.65 | 13.4 | -10.1 | -0.88 – 4.17 |
| 2036 | 0.99 | 17.61 | -15.63 | -2.56 – 4.54 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed55.32(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53.88 | 82.26 | 29.28 | 48.96 – 58.79 |
| 2027 | 50.98 | 100.15 | 8.37 | 41.51 – 60.45 |
| 2029 | 48.09 | 111.56 | 0 | 35.18 – 61.01 |
| 2034 | 40.86 | 130.62 | 0 | 21.5 – 60.22 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed162.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 205.9m | 250.1m | 167.7m | 197.4m – 214.5m |
| 2029 | 230.4m | 306.8m | 164.2m | 210.2m – 250.5m |
| 2031 | 254.8m | 353.5m | 169.3m | 222.7m – 287m |
| 2036 | 315.9m | 455.4m | 195m | 248.8m – 383.1m |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.39(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.04 | 6.57 | -1.88 | 1.25 – 2.83 |
| 2029 | 1.84 | 9.68 | -4.96 | 0.44 – 3.23 |
| 2031 | 1.64 | 11.76 | -7.14 | -0.18 – 3.46 |
| 2036 | 1.13 | 12 | -10 | -1.44 – 3.7 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed13.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 16.8k | 20.5k | 13.5k | 16.1k – 17.5k |
| 2029 | 18.5k | 25.1k | 12.9k | 16.9k – 20.2k |
| 2031 | 20.3k | 28.7k | 13k | 17.7k – 23k |
| 2036 | 24.8k | 36.7k | 14.5k | 19.4k – 30.2k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed12.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.74 | 21.79 | 0 | 2.04 – 7.44 |
| 2029 | 0 | 29.53 | 0 | 0 – 4.59 |
| 2031 | 0 | 38.12 | 0 | 0 – 5.94 |
| 2036 | 0 | 53.91 | 0 | 0 – 8.45 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed110.52(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 114.27 | 143.29 | 85.25 | 108 – 120.54 |
| 2027 | 121.76 | 150 | 71.49 | 108.22 – 135.3 |
| 2029 | 129.25 | 150 | 64.36 | 108.98 – 149.52 |
| 2034 | 147.98 | 150 | 56.2 | 110.26 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-0.12(2012)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.4 | 11.34 | -0.97 | 3.99 – 6.8 |
| 2029 | 4.56 | 14.86 | -5 | 2.06 – 7.06 |
| 2031 | 3.72 | 17.01 | -5 | 0.47 – 6.96 |
| 2036 | 1.62 | 20.42 | -5 | -2.81 – 6.05 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed11.9k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 12k | 12.5k | 11.5k | 11.6k – 12.3k |
| 2029 | 12k | 12.5k | 11.5k | 11.1k – 12.9k |
| 2031 | 12k | 12.5k | 11.5k | 10.6k – 13.3k |
| 2036 | 12k | 12.5k | 11.5k | 9.5k – 14.5k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/NRU · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
