Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
New Zealand: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -4.18 | 0.93 | -9.3 | -5.29 – -3.07 |
| 2029 | -4.54 | 4.32 | -13.4 | -6.57 – -2.52 |
| 2031 | -4.9 | 6.53 | -16.34 | -7.63 – -2.18 |
| 2036 | -5.81 | 10.36 | -21.98 | -10.04 – -1.58 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed24.81(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24.22 | 28.96 | 20.11 | 23.15 – 25.28 |
| 2027 | 23.04 | 31.26 | 15.92 | 20.76 – 25.32 |
| 2029 | 21.87 | 32.48 | 12.68 | 18.61 – 25.14 |
| 2034 | 18.94 | 33.94 | 5.94 | 13.76 – 24.11 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed260.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 284.3bn | 315.4bn | 257.4bn | 275.5bn – 293.1bn |
| 2029 | 299.4bn | 353.2bn | 252.7bn | 277.2bn – 321.5bn |
| 2031 | 314.4bn | 383.9bn | 254.2bn | 278.7bn – 350.2bn |
| 2036 | 352.1bn | 450.4bn | 267bn | 279.1bn – 425.2bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.29(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.11 | 4.95 | -0.34 | 1.61 – 2.62 |
| 2029 | 2.14 | 7.05 | -2.12 | 1.22 – 3.06 |
| 2031 | 2.16 | 8.5 | -3.34 | 0.93 – 3.39 |
| 2036 | 2.21 | 11.18 | -5.56 | 0.36 – 4.06 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed49.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 52.7k | 59.1k | 47.2k | 51.1k – 54.3k |
| 2029 | 54.6k | 65.7k | 45k | 50.6k – 58.7k |
| 2031 | 56.5k | 70.8k | 44.2k | 50.1k – 62.9k |
| 2036 | 61.3k | 81.5k | 43.8k | 48.6k – 74k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed56.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 59.89 | 66.82 | 51.89 | 57.87 – 61.91 |
| 2029 | 66.27 | 78.27 | 52.42 | 61.24 – 71.3 |
| 2031 | 72.65 | 88.15 | 54.76 | 64.4 – 80.9 |
| 2036 | 88.6 | 110.52 | 63.31 | 70.22 – 106.98 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed26.42(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26.46 | 32.16 | 20.76 | 25.17 – 27.76 |
| 2027 | 26.55 | 36.42 | 16.68 | 23.77 – 29.34 |
| 2029 | 26.64 | 39.39 | 13.89 | 22.56 – 30.72 |
| 2034 | 26.86 | 44.89 | 8.83 | 19.8 – 33.92 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.92(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.31 | 7.41 | -1.08 | 2.35 – 4.27 |
| 2029 | 3.73 | 10.83 | -3.87 | 1.98 – 5.48 |
| 2031 | 4.15 | 13.31 | -5 | 1.79 – 6.51 |
| 2036 | 5.2 | 18.16 | -5 | 1.5 – 8.91 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.21(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23.06 | 24.93 | 21.44 | 22.35 – 23.78 |
| 2027 | 22.68 | 25.92 | 19.88 | 21 – 24.36 |
| 2029 | 22.3 | 26.47 | 18.68 | 19.77 – 24.83 |
| 2034 | 21.34 | 27.25 | 16.22 | 16.92 – 25.77 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.3m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.3m | 5.6m | 5.1m | 5.2m – 5.5m |
| 2029 | 5.4m | 5.6m | 5.1m | 5m – 5.8m |
| 2031 | 5.4m | 5.7m | 5.2m | 4.8m – 6m |
| 2036 | 5.5m | 5.8m | 5.3m | 4.4m – 6.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.68(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.31 | 7.48 | -3.32 | 0.52 – 2.1 |
| 2027 | 0.69 | 11.39 | -7.33 | -0.69 – 2.08 |
| 2029 | 0.08 | 13.88 | -10 | -1.73 – 1.88 |
| 2034 | -1.46 | 15 | -10 | -4.14 – 1.21 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.08(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.81 | 6.73 | 4.89 | 5.58 – 6.05 |
| 2029 | 6.64 | 8.23 | 5.05 | 6.08 – 7.2 |
| 2031 | 7.46 | 9.52 | 5.41 | 6.55 – 8.37 |
| 2036 | 9.53 | 12.43 | 6.62 | 7.55 – 11.5 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/NZL · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
