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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Panama

Forecast

Panama — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
3.39

Panama: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed-1.5

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-1.164.43-6.76-2.32 – -0
2029-0.499.21-10.18-2.52 – 1.54
20310.1812.7-12.33-2.45 – 2.82
20361.8719.57-15.83-2.04 – 5.78

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed44.36(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202545.1452.9438.3743.3 – 46.97
202746.6960.2234.9742.52 – 50.87
202948.2565.7133.1241.9 – 54.6
203452.1476.8330.7540.27 – 64.01

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed86.5bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202798.2bn113.2bn85.2bn94.9bn – 101.6bn
2029106.6bn132.6bn84.1bn98.4bn – 114.8bn
2031115bn148.6bn85.9bn101.8bn – 128.2bn
2036136bn183.5bn94.9bn107.8bn – 164.2bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed2.75(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.398.95-1.422.41 – 4.37
20292.1411.76-6.20.43 – 3.85
20310.8912-9.88-1.26 – 3.04
2036-2.2412-10-5.53 – 1.05

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed19.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202721.1k24.6k18.1k20.3k – 21.8k
202922.5k28.6k17.3k20.7k – 24.3k
203123.9k31.7k17.2k21.1k – 26.8k
203627.5k38.5k17.9k21.8k – 33.2k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed57.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202760.1472.5445.8457.28 – 63.01
202965.0386.5140.2658.61 – 71.46
203169.9297.6537.9460.07 – 79.78
203682.15121.3636.9162.97 – 101.32

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed39.32(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202539.2449.1129.3737.1 – 41.38
202739.0956.182234.6 – 43.58
202938.946116.8832.45 – 45.43
203438.5669.767.3627.62 – 49.51

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed0.69(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.054.36-0.421.51 – 2.6
20294.018.01-0.272.93 – 5.09
20315.9711.130.454.35 – 7.59
203610.8718.173.067.52 – 14.23

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed31.4(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202531.6742.8321.9929.56 – 33.77
202732.0751.415.3227.77 – 36.37
202932.4857.4310.8526.31 – 38.64
203433.4968.782.9123.09 – 43.89

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed4.5m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.6m4.8m4.4m4.5m – 4.7m
20294.7m4.9m4.5m4.3m – 5m
20314.7m5m4.5m4.2m – 5.3m
20364.9m5.1m4.7m3.9m – 5.9m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed1.22(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2025-0.3715-10-3.78 – 3.04
2027-3.6415-10-9.7 – 2.41
2029-6.9215-10-10 – 1.23
2034-1015-10-10 – 2.34

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed8.36(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202710.5113.857.179.83 – 11.19
202910.7316.524.949.33 – 12.13
203110.9518.423.478.93 – 12.97
203611.522.070.938.04 – 14.96

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/PAN · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs