Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Philippines: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-4.4
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -5.16 | 0.15 | -10.46 | -6.32 – -3.99 |
| 2029 | -6.67 | 2.52 | -15.86 | -8.86 – -4.47 |
| 2031 | -8.18 | 3.68 | -20.04 | -11.25 – -5.1 |
| 2036 | -11.96 | 4.81 | -28.73 | -17.3 – -6.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed25.77(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25.25 | 29.05 | 21.96 | 24.31 – 26.2 |
| 2027 | 24.21 | 30.79 | 18.51 | 22.11 – 26.31 |
| 2029 | 23.17 | 31.66 | 15.8 | 20.1 – 26.24 |
| 2034 | 20.56 | 32.58 | 10.15 | 15.56 – 25.57 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed461.6bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 530.9bn | 563.8bn | 502.5bn | 514.5bn – 547.4bn |
| 2029 | 578.3bn | 635.2bn | 529bn | 535.5bn – 621.1bn |
| 2031 | 625.7bn | 699.1bn | 562bn | 554.6bn – 696.7bn |
| 2036 | 744.1bn | 847.9bn | 654.1bn | 589.7bn – 898.4bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.69(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.5 | 6.31 | 1.05 | 2.97 – 4.02 |
| 2029 | 2.13 | 7.01 | -2.1 | 1.22 – 3.05 |
| 2031 | 0.77 | 7.07 | -4.7 | -0.36 – 1.9 |
| 2036 | -2.65 | 6.26 | -10 | -4.56 – -0.74 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.6k | 4.9k | 4.3k | 4.5k – 4.7k |
| 2029 | 5k | 5.5k | 4.5k | 4.6k – 5.4k |
| 2031 | 5.4k | 6.1k | 4.8k | 4.8k – 6k |
| 2036 | 6.4k | 7.4k | 5.5k | 5.1k – 7.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed60.2(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 63.04 | 71.58 | 53.17 | 60.71 – 65.36 |
| 2029 | 68.71 | 83.52 | 51.63 | 63.14 – 74.29 |
| 2031 | 74.38 | 93.5 | 52.33 | 65.49 – 83.28 |
| 2036 | 88.57 | 115.6 | 57.38 | 70.2 – 106.94 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed40.11(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40.35 | 49.2 | 31.5 | 38.35 – 42.35 |
| 2027 | 40.83 | 56.16 | 25.5 | 36.53 – 45.14 |
| 2029 | 41.31 | 61.1 | 21.52 | 34.98 – 47.65 |
| 2034 | 42.51 | 70.5 | 14.52 | 31.43 – 53.6 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.21(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.54 | 9.63 | 1.16 | 4.55 – 6.54 |
| 2029 | 9.18 | 16.27 | 1.6 | 7.17 – 11.2 |
| 2031 | 12.82 | 21.97 | 3.03 | 9.77 – 15.88 |
| 2036 | 21.92 | 34.85 | 8.07 | 15.55 – 28.3 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.57(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23.62 | 28.54 | 19.35 | 22.53 – 24.7 |
| 2027 | 23.61 | 32.14 | 16.21 | 21.26 – 25.96 |
| 2029 | 23.61 | 34.62 | 14.06 | 20.14 – 27.07 |
| 2034 | 23.59 | 39.17 | 10.09 | 17.59 – 29.59 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed115.8m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 115.6m | 121.1m | 110.5m | 112m – 119.2m |
| 2029 | 117m | 122.5m | 111.8m | 108.3m – 125.6m |
| 2031 | 118.3m | 123.9m | 113.1m | 104.9m – 131.7m |
| 2036 | 121.6m | 127.4m | 116.3m | 96.4m – 146.9m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.78(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.34 | 15 | -3.82 | 2.91 – 5.77 |
| 2027 | 5.8 | 15 | -8.33 | 3.16 – 8.43 |
| 2029 | 7.26 | 15 | -10 | 3.63 – 10.88 |
| 2034 | 10.9 | 15 | -10 | 4.86 – 15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.24(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.85 | 7.1 | 2.61 | 4.43 – 5.28 |
| 2029 | 5.16 | 9.05 | 1.28 | 4.32 – 6.01 |
| 2031 | 5.47 | 10.49 | 0.46 | 4.27 – 6.68 |
| 2036 | 6.25 | 13.34 | 0 | 4.16 – 8.33 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/PHL · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
