Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Palau: forward projections across 10 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2031, 2033, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -13.45 | 2.06 | -28.96 | -16.83 – -10.07 |
| 2029 | -5.95 | 20.91 | -30 | -11.72 – -0.18 |
| 2031 | 1.55 | 30 | -30 | -5.65 – 8.75 |
| 2036 | 20.3 | 30 | -28.75 | 7.04 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed26.28(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.25 | 41.62 | 3.59 | 18 – 24.5 |
| 2026 | 11.18 | 46.47 | 0 | 5.6 – 16.75 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 46.67 | 0 | 0 – 7.7 |
| 2033 | 0 | 64.44 | 0 | 0 – 9.37 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed276.7m(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 398m | 453.4m | 349.9m | 385m – 410.9m |
| 2029 | 450m | 546.1m | 366.7m | 416.7m – 483.3m |
| 2031 | 502.1m | 626.2m | 394.5m | 445.1m – 559.1m |
| 2036 | 632.2m | 807.7m | 480.1m | 501.1m – 763.4m |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.22(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.69 | 12 | -10 | -1.05 – 4.43 |
| 2029 | -1.38 | 12 | -10 | -6.15 – 3.39 |
| 2031 | -4.45 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 1.98 |
| 2036 | -10 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 0.19 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed15.6k(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 22.8k | 26k | 20k | 22k – 23.5k |
| 2029 | 25.9k | 31.4k | 21.1k | 23.9k – 27.8k |
| 2031 | 28.9k | 36.1k | 22.7k | 25.6k – 32.2k |
| 2036 | 36.6k | 46.7k | 27.8k | 29k – 44.2k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed56.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 61.24 | 79.43 | 40.25 | 57.46 – 65.02 |
| 2029 | 70.31 | 101.82 | 33.96 | 62.09 – 78.54 |
| 2031 | 79.39 | 120.06 | 32.45 | 66.78 – 92 |
| 2036 | 102.08 | 159.6 | 35.7 | 76.89 – 127.26 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed80.42(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 82.07 | 96.63 | 67.51 | 78.53 – 85.61 |
| 2026 | 85.37 | 110.59 | 60.15 | 77.41 – 93.33 |
| 2028 | 88.67 | 121.23 | 56.12 | 76.6 – 100.75 |
| 2033 | 96.93 | 142.97 | 50.89 | 74.38 – 119.49 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.23(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.57 | 22.64 | -5 | 5.32 – 11.83 |
| 2029 | 16.41 | 40.78 | -5 | 10.22 – 22.6 |
| 2031 | 24.25 | 50 | -5 | 15.34 – 33.17 |
| 2036 | 43.85 | 50 | -3.81 | 26.97 – 50 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed35.3(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.1 | 47 | 24.78 | 32.83 – 37.36 |
| 2026 | 34.67 | 55.29 | 16.8 | 30.06 – 39.28 |
| 2028 | 34.24 | 60.86 | 11.17 | 27.7 – 40.79 |
| 2033 | 33.18 | 70 | 0.55 | 22.49 – 43.86 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.7k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 16.8k | 17.6k | 16.1k | 16.3k – 17.4k |
| 2029 | 15.7k | 16.8k | 14.7k | 14.6k – 16.9k |
| 2031 | 14.6k | 16.1k | 13.3k | 13k – 16.3k |
| 2036 | 11.9k | 13.9k | 10k | 9.4k – 14.4k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/PLW · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
