Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Papua New Guinea: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2005, 2007, 2009, 2014, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 13.7 | 20.27 | 7.14 | 12.14 – 15.26 |
| 2029 | 13.71 | 25.08 | 2.34 | 10.73 – 16.69 |
| 2031 | 13.72 | 28.4 | -0.96 | 9.62 – 17.81 |
| 2036 | 13.74 | 30 | -7.03 | 7.3 – 20.17 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed72.16(2004)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 74.91 | 84.3 | 66.77 | 72.37 – 77.45 |
| 2007 | 80.4 | 96.66 | 66.3 | 74.21 – 86.58 |
| 2009 | 85.88 | 106.88 | 67.68 | 76.01 – 95.75 |
| 2014 | 99.6 | 129.3 | 73.86 | 78.94 – 120.26 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed31.8bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 35.4bn | 39.7bn | 31.7bn | 34.3bn – 36.5bn |
| 2029 | 38bn | 45.4bn | 31.6bn | 35.2bn – 40.8bn |
| 2031 | 40.6bn | 50.1bn | 32.3bn | 36bn – 45.2bn |
| 2036 | 47bn | 60.6bn | 35.3bn | 37.3bn – 56.8bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.8(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.02 | 10.33 | -1.44 | 2.91 – 5.14 |
| 2029 | 4.49 | 12 | -4.97 | 2.45 – 6.52 |
| 2031 | 4.95 | 12 | -7.27 | 2.2 – 7.69 |
| 2036 | 6.1 | 12 | -10 | 1.8 – 10.4 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.6k | 3.1k | 2.1k | 2.5k – 2.7k |
| 2029 | 2.4k | 3.4k | 1.5k | 2.2k – 2.6k |
| 2031 | 2.3k | 3.6k | 1.1k | 1.9k – 2.6k |
| 2036 | 1.9k | 3.7k | 276.74 | 1.4k – 2.4k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed49.2(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 51.29 | 59.35 | 41.99 | 49.23 – 53.35 |
| 2029 | 55.47 | 69.43 | 39.37 | 50.66 – 60.28 |
| 2031 | 59.65 | 77.67 | 38.86 | 52.1 – 67.19 |
| 2036 | 70.1 | 95.58 | 40.7 | 54.96 – 85.23 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed58.92(2004)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 60.19 | 67.67 | 52.71 | 58.08 – 62.29 |
| 2007 | 62.72 | 75.68 | 49.77 | 57.73 – 67.72 |
| 2009 | 65.26 | 81.98 | 48.53 | 57.48 – 73.04 |
| 2014 | 71.6 | 95.25 | 47.94 | 56.52 – 86.67 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.6(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.97 | 9.68 | -0.08 | 3.84 – 6.09 |
| 2029 | 5.81 | 13.97 | -2.94 | 3.72 – 7.89 |
| 2031 | 6.65 | 17.18 | -4.64 | 3.78 – 9.51 |
| 2036 | 8.75 | 23.64 | -5 | 4.04 – 13.45 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18.13(2004)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 17.85 | 24.88 | 11.76 | 16.56 – 19.14 |
| 2007 | 17.39 | 29.56 | 6.85 | 14.82 – 19.97 |
| 2009 | 16.94 | 32.65 | 3.32 | 13.34 – 20.53 |
| 2014 | 15.79 | 38.01 | 0 | 10.09 – 21.49 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed10.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 12.6m | 13.8m | 11.5m | 12.2m – 13m |
| 2029 | 12.9m | 15m | 11m | 12m – 13.9m |
| 2031 | 13.2m | 15.9m | 10.7m | 11.7m – 14.7m |
| 2036 | 13.9m | 17.7m | 10.4m | 11.1m – 16.8m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.45(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.53 | 11.63 | -4.29 | 1.35 – 3.71 |
| 2027 | 5.02 | 15 | -6.8 | 2.81 – 7.23 |
| 2029 | 7.5 | 15 | -7.75 | 4.36 – 10.65 |
| 2034 | 13.72 | 15 | -7.85 | 7.93 – 15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.57(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.19 | 2.4 – 2.57 |
| 2028 | 2.32 | 2.84 | 1.81 | 2.13 – 2.51 |
| 2030 | 2.15 | 2.82 | 1.49 | 1.88 – 2.43 |
| 2035 | 1.74 | 2.68 | 0.8 | 1.32 – 2.16 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/PNG · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
