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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Poland

Forecast

Poland — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
3.19

Poland: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed-1.1

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-1.253.37-5.87-2.21 – -0.29
2029-1.556.46-9.55-3.25 – 0.16
2031-1.848.49-12.18-4.1 – 0.41
2036-2.5912.03-17.2-5.99 – 0.81

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed52.18(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202552.9660.994650.96 – 54.95
202754.5268.4342.4649.91 – 59.12
202956.0874.0440.5149.03 – 63.13
203459.9785.3737.9646.75 – 73.2

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed917.8bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.2T1.3T1.1T1.2T – 1.2T
20291.4T1.6T1.3T1.3T – 1.5T
20311.6T1.8T1.4T1.4T – 1.8T
20362.1T2.4T1.8T1.7T – 2.5T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.03(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.198.61-1.512.23 – 4.14
20292.9112-5.231.21 – 4.62
20312.6412-7.870.41 – 4.87
20361.9612-10-1.21 – 5.13

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed25.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202733.5k36.1k31.2k32.5k – 34.5k
202939k43.6k35.1k36.1k – 41.9k
203144.5k50.4k39.4k39.4k – 49.5k
203658.2k66.6k51k46.2k – 70.3k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed65.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202767.1376.5656.2564.61 – 69.65
202969.9986.3251.1564.12 – 75.86
203172.8593.9348.5263.78 – 81.92
203680109.8145.5962.61 – 97.38

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed48.18(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202548.7459.0138.4746.39 – 51.09
202749.8667.6432.0744.74 – 54.97
202950.9773.9328.0143.38 – 58.56
203453.7786.2321.340.19 – 67.34

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed3.79(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.4114.73-50.84 – 5.97
20292.9922.61-5-1.51 – 7.48
20312.5727.9-5-3.25 – 8.39
20361.5237.34-5-5 – 9.7

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed17.04(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202517.119.2915.216.51 – 17.68
202717.1220.9113.8315.75 – 18.48
202917.1322.0312.8915.06 – 19.2
203417.1824.111.1713.44 – 20.91

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed36.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202736.2m37.9m34.6m35.1m – 37.3m
202935.9m37.6m34.3m33.2m – 38.5m
203135.5m37.2m34m31.5m – 39.6m
203634.7m36.4m33.2m27.5m – 41.9m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed4.11(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20253.3513.29-4.112.05 – 4.64
20271.9215-10-0.33 – 4.16
20290.4915-10-2.37 – 3.35
2034-3.0815-10-7.51 – 1.34

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed2.98(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.4342.873.29 – 3.58
20293.54.492.523.19 – 3.82
20313.574.852.33.09 – 4.06
20363.755.551.952.87 – 4.62

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/POL · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs