Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Portugal: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed0.5
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.72 | 3.57 | -2.12 | 0.13 – 1.32 |
| 2029 | 1.17 | 6.09 | -3.76 | 0.11 – 2.23 |
| 2031 | 1.61 | 7.97 | -4.75 | 0.19 – 3.04 |
| 2036 | 2.73 | 11.72 | -6.27 | 0.45 – 5 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed45.77(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46.47 | 55.49 | 38.66 | 44.44 – 48.51 |
| 2027 | 47.88 | 63.49 | 34.34 | 43.35 – 52.41 |
| 2029 | 49.28 | 69.44 | 31.81 | 42.46 – 56.1 |
| 2034 | 52.79 | 81.3 | 28.08 | 40.27 – 65.31 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed313.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 401.5bn | 436.6bn | 371.1bn | 389.1bn – 413.9bn |
| 2029 | 454.2bn | 514.9bn | 401.5bn | 420.6bn – 487.8bn |
| 2031 | 506.8bn | 585.3bn | 438.9bn | 449.3bn – 564.4bn |
| 2036 | 638.5bn | 749.4bn | 542.4bn | 506.1bn – 771bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.14(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.55 | 5.24 | -1.65 | 0.91 – 2.19 |
| 2029 | 0.65 | 7.04 | -4.89 | -0.46 – 1.76 |
| 2031 | -0.25 | 8 | -7.4 | -1.7 – 1.21 |
| 2036 | -2.49 | 9.18 | -10 | -4.84 – -0.15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed29.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 37.2k | 40.5k | 34.4k | 36.1k – 38.4k |
| 2029 | 41.8k | 47.4k | 36.9k | 38.7k – 44.9k |
| 2031 | 46.3k | 53.6k | 40k | 41.1k – 51.6k |
| 2036 | 57.7k | 68k | 48.8k | 45.7k – 69.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed85.6(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 80.63 | 96.74 | 62.05 | 76.87 – 84.4 |
| 2029 | 70.7 | 98.59 | 38.52 | 63.02 – 78.39 |
| 2031 | 60.77 | 96.78 | 19.23 | 50.37 – 71.17 |
| 2036 | 35.95 | 86.87 | 0 | 22.36 – 49.53 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed43.92(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44.64 | 53.34 | 35.95 | 42.6 – 46.69 |
| 2027 | 46.08 | 61.14 | 31.03 | 41.57 – 50.6 |
| 2029 | 47.52 | 66.96 | 28.08 | 40.74 – 54.3 |
| 2034 | 51.11 | 78.6 | 23.63 | 38.73 – 63.5 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.42(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.54 | 10.53 | -3.95 | 1.94 – 5.15 |
| 2029 | 4.8 | 16.91 | -5 | 1.89 – 7.72 |
| 2031 | 6.06 | 21.7 | -5 | 2.11 – 10.01 |
| 2036 | 9.21 | 31.32 | -5 | 2.84 – 15.59 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed20.44(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20.59 | 21.67 | 19.65 | 19.95 – 21.23 |
| 2027 | 21.03 | 22.7 | 19.59 | 19.48 – 22.59 |
| 2029 | 21.48 | 23.63 | 19.61 | 19.04 – 23.91 |
| 2034 | 22.58 | 25.63 | 19.95 | 17.9 – 27.27 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed10.7m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.7m | 11.2m | 10.2m | 10.4m – 11m |
| 2029 | 10.7m | 11.2m | 10.2m | 9.9m – 11.5m |
| 2031 | 10.6m | 11.1m | 10.2m | 9.4m – 11.9m |
| 2036 | 10.6m | 11.1m | 10.1m | 8.4m – 12.8m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.12(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 13.69 | -9.75 | -1.39 – 1.98 |
| 2027 | -1.35 | 15 | -10 | -4.31 – 1.61 |
| 2029 | -2.99 | 15 | -10 | -6.98 – 0.99 |
| 2034 | -7.11 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -0.68 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.16(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.79 | 6.41 | 5.16 | 5.6 – 5.97 |
| 2029 | 5.56 | 6.64 | 4.47 | 5.13 – 5.99 |
| 2031 | 5.33 | 6.73 | 3.93 | 4.69 – 5.97 |
| 2036 | 4.76 | 6.74 | 2.78 | 3.7 – 5.83 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/PRT · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
