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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Romania

Forecast

Romania — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
0.34

Romania: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed-6.8

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-7.13-3.67-10.59-7.95 – -6.31
2029-7.8-1.8-13.79-9.39 – -6.2
2031-8.46-0.72-16.2-10.72 – -6.2
2036-10.120.83-21.07-13.97 – -6.27

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed35.6(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202535.0541.2229.733.61 – 36.49
202733.9444.6424.6730.78 – 37.1
202932.8346.6420.8628.23 – 37.43
203430.0649.5913.1422.46 – 37.66

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed382.6bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027512.6bn552.3bn478.2bn496.7bn – 528.5bn
2029593.1bn661.9bn533.5bn549.2bn – 637bn
2031673.5bn762.3bn596.6bn597.1bn – 750bn
2036874.7bn1T765.9bn693.3bn – 1.1T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed0.92(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20270.341.89-1.010.06 – 0.61
2029-0.582.11-2.92-1.08 – -0.09
2031-1.511.98-4.53-2.21 – -0.8
2036-3.811.12-8.08-5.24 – -2.38

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed20.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202727.4k29.6k25.6k26.6k – 28.3k
202931.9k35.6k28.7k29.5k – 34.3k
203136.4k41.2k32.2k32.2k – 40.5k
203647.5k54.3k41.6k37.7k – 57.4k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed61.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202764.967256.8462.84 – 67.09
202971.0983.2957.0265.8 – 76.38
203177.2292.9659.0568.45 – 85.99
203692.54114.866.8573.34 – 111.73

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed41.61(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202541.5448.8334.2539.76 – 43.32
202741.4154.0428.7837.49 – 45.33
202941.2757.5724.9635.47 – 47.07
203440.9363.9817.8730.85 – 51

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed5.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20277.9917.56-2.265.74 – 10.24
20298.6925.26-54.6 – 12.78
20319.3930.79-53.9 – 14.88
203611.1441.4-52.65 – 19.63

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed25.29(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202525.6828.3523.3824.89 – 26.48
202726.6431.2522.6424.67 – 28.61
202927.5933.5522.4324.46 – 30.73
203429.9838.422.6823.76 – 36.2

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed19.1m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202718.8m19.6m17.9m18.2m – 19.3m
202918.6m19.5m17.8m17.2m – 20m
203118.5m19.4m17.7m16.4m – 20.6m
203618.2m19m17.4m14.4m – 21.9m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed1.11(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20250.39.66-6.72-0.88 – 1.49
2027-1.614.61-10-3.7 – 0.5
2029-3.515-10-6.4 – -0.61
2034-8.2615-10-10 – -3.24

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed5.99(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20276.096.615.565.9 – 6.27
20296.267.165.355.79 – 6.72
20316.437.595.265.7 – 7.16
20366.868.55.215.43 – 8.28

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ROU · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs