Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Solomon Islands: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -4.09 | 7.58 | -15.76 | -6.54 – -1.64 |
| 2029 | -3.07 | 17.14 | -23.27 | -7.34 – 1.2 |
| 2031 | -2.05 | 24.04 | -28.13 | -7.53 – 3.44 |
| 2036 | 0.51 | 30 | -30 | -7.18 – 8.2 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40.06 | 51.44 | 30.2 | 37.8 – 42.33 |
| 2027 | 39.05 | 58.75 | 21.97 | 34.36 – 43.74 |
| 2029 | 38.03 | 63.47 | 15.99 | 31.36 – 44.71 |
| 2034 | 35.5 | 71.46 | 4.33 | 24.68 – 46.32 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.9bn | 2.1bn | 1.7bn | 1.8bn – 2bn |
| 2029 | 2.1bn | 2.4bn | 1.8bn | 1.9bn – 2.2bn |
| 2031 | 2.2bn | 2.6bn | 1.9bn | 2bn – 2.5bn |
| 2036 | 2.6bn | 3.2bn | 2.1bn | 2.1bn – 3.1bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3 | 8.42 | -1.7 | 2.05 – 3.95 |
| 2029 | 3.55 | 12 | -4.58 | 1.82 – 5.29 |
| 2031 | 4.11 | 12 | -6.39 | 1.76 – 6.45 |
| 2036 | 5.49 | 12 | -9.36 | 1.76 – 9.22 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.3k | 2.6k | 2.1k | 2.3k – 2.4k |
| 2029 | 2.5k | 2.9k | 2.1k | 2.3k – 2.7k |
| 2031 | 2.6k | 3.2k | 2.1k | 2.3k – 2.9k |
| 2036 | 3k | 3.9k | 2.3k | 2.4k – 3.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 32.73 | 37.37 | 27.38 | 31.49 – 33.97 |
| 2029 | 38.39 | 46.43 | 29.12 | 35.31 – 41.47 |
| 2031 | 44.05 | 54.43 | 32.08 | 38.93 – 49.17 |
| 2036 | 58.2 | 72.87 | 41.27 | 46.13 – 70.28 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 74.27 | 92.06 | 56.47 | 70.36 – 78.18 |
| 2027 | 81.23 | 112.06 | 50.41 | 72.62 – 89.85 |
| 2029 | 88.2 | 127.99 | 48.41 | 75.05 – 101.35 |
| 2034 | 105.62 | 150 | 49.34 | 80.1 – 131.13 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.23 | 8.44 | -2.36 | 2.02 – 4.44 |
| 2029 | 2.95 | 11.98 | -5 | 0.8 – 5.09 |
| 2031 | 2.67 | 14.33 | -5 | -0.13 – 5.47 |
| 2036 | 1.97 | 18.46 | -5 | -2 – 5.94 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18.9 | 24.65 | 13.92 | 17.78 – 20.03 |
| 2027 | 17.68 | 27.63 | 9.06 | 15.41 – 19.95 |
| 2029 | 16.47 | 29.31 | 5.33 | 13.31 – 19.62 |
| 2034 | 13.42 | 31.58 | 0 | 8.68 – 18.16 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 815.7k | 854.2k | 779.9k | 790.4k – 841k |
| 2029 | 832.2k | 873.7k | 793.6k | 770.6k – 893.7k |
| 2031 | 848.7k | 902.3k | 798.9k | 752.3k – 945k |
| 2036 | 889.9k | 965.7k | 819.5k | 705.3k – 1.1m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.75 | 6.73 | -3.73 | -0.01 – 1.52 |
| 2027 | 2.65 | 13 | -5.12 | 1.22 – 4.07 |
| 2029 | 4.54 | 15 | -5.49 | 2.51 – 6.58 |
| 2034 | 9.27 | 15 | -4.91 | 5.43 – 13.12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.56 | 2.03 | 1.08 | 1.46 – 1.66 |
| 2028 | 1.81 | 2.64 | 0.99 | 1.6 – 2.03 |
| 2030 | 2.07 | 3.13 | 1.01 | 1.74 – 2.4 |
| 2035 | 2.71 | 4.21 | 1.21 | 2.05 – 3.37 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SLB · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
