Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
El Salvador: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -3.68 | 2.63 | -9.99 | -5.03 – -2.34 |
| 2029 | -4.45 | 6.48 | -15.38 | -6.89 – -2.01 |
| 2031 | -5.22 | 8.9 | -19.33 | -8.51 – -1.92 |
| 2036 | -7.13 | 12.83 | -27.09 | -12.35 – -1.92 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33.36 | 39.65 | 27.9 | 31.92 – 34.79 |
| 2027 | 34.55 | 45.45 | 25.1 | 31.33 – 37.77 |
| 2029 | 35.74 | 49.82 | 23.54 | 30.87 – 40.61 |
| 2034 | 38.73 | 58.64 | 21.47 | 29.69 – 47.77 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 41.4bn | 45.1bn | 38.2bn | 40.1bn – 42.7bn |
| 2029 | 45.4bn | 51.8bn | 39.9bn | 42.1bn – 48.8bn |
| 2031 | 49.5bn | 57.7bn | 42.4bn | 43.9bn – 55.1bn |
| 2036 | 59.6bn | 71.1bn | 49.5bn | 47.2bn – 71.9bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.14 | 10.88 | -3.56 | 1.8 – 4.48 |
| 2029 | 2.67 | 12 | -8.95 | 0.31 – 5.03 |
| 2031 | 2.19 | 12 | -10 | -0.86 – 5.25 |
| 2036 | 1.01 | 12 | -10 | -3.23 – 5.25 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.4k | 7k | 5.9k | 6.2k – 6.6k |
| 2029 | 7k | 8k | 6.1k | 6.5k – 7.5k |
| 2031 | 7.6k | 8.9k | 6.4k | 6.7k – 8.4k |
| 2036 | 9k | 10.8k | 7.4k | 7.1k – 10.9k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 85.41 | 97.37 | 71.6 | 82.2 – 88.62 |
| 2029 | 87.23 | 107.95 | 63.31 | 79.85 – 94.6 |
| 2031 | 89.05 | 115.8 | 58.17 | 77.81 – 100.29 |
| 2036 | 93.59 | 131.43 | 49.93 | 72.8 – 114.39 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53.16 | 63.25 | 43.07 | 50.77 – 55.56 |
| 2027 | 55.69 | 73.16 | 38.22 | 50.34 – 61.04 |
| 2029 | 58.22 | 80.77 | 35.66 | 50.11 – 66.33 |
| 2034 | 64.53 | 96.44 | 32.63 | 49.33 – 79.74 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.53 | 9.2 | -2.54 | 2.22 – 4.85 |
| 2029 | 6.61 | 16.43 | -3.91 | 4.12 – 9.11 |
| 2031 | 9.69 | 22.37 | -3.89 | 6.11 – 13.28 |
| 2036 | 17.39 | 35.32 | -1.82 | 10.63 – 24.15 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.65 | 25.12 | 20.5 | 21.93 – 23.36 |
| 2027 | 23.94 | 28.23 | 20.23 | 22.17 – 25.71 |
| 2029 | 25.24 | 30.77 | 20.44 | 22.37 – 28.1 |
| 2034 | 28.47 | 36.3 | 21.69 | 22.57 – 34.38 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.4m | 6.7m | 6.1m | 6.2m – 6.6m |
| 2029 | 6.5m | 6.8m | 6.2m | 6m – 7m |
| 2031 | 6.5m | 6.8m | 6.2m | 5.8m – 7.3m |
| 2036 | 6.7m | 7m | 6.4m | 5.3m – 8m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.63 | 9.98 | -6.38 | -0.55 – 1.82 |
| 2027 | -0.59 | 15 | -10 | -2.67 – 1.48 |
| 2029 | -1.82 | 15 | -10 | -4.58 – 0.94 |
| 2034 | -4.9 | 15 | -10 | -9.37 – -0.42 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.33 | 5.8 | 2.85 | 4.03 – 4.62 |
| 2029 | 4.39 | 6.94 | 1.83 | 3.79 – 4.99 |
| 2031 | 4.45 | 7.75 | 1.15 | 3.59 – 5.31 |
| 2036 | 4.6 | 9.26 | 0 | 3.15 – 6.05 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SLV · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
