Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
San Marino: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2031, 2033, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 19.77 | 28.13 | 11.42 | 17.75 – 21.8 |
| 2029 | 25.12 | 30 | 10.65 | 20.96 – 29.28 |
| 2031 | 30 | 30 | 11.31 | 23.79 – 30 |
| 2036 | 30 | 30 | 3.57 | 19.81 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed185.99(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 150 | 150 | 131.78 | 144.6 – 150 |
| 2026 | 150 | 150 | 118.44 | 137.6 – 150 |
| 2028 | 150 | 150 | 109.25 | 131.28 – 150 |
| 2033 | 150 | 150 | 92.38 | 116.5 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2bn(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.5bn | 2.8bn | 2.3bn | 2.4bn – 2.6bn |
| 2029 | 2.8bn | 3.2bn | 2.4bn | 2.6bn – 3bn |
| 2031 | 3bn | 3.6bn | 2.5bn | 2.7bn – 3.4bn |
| 2036 | 3.7bn | 4.5bn | 2.9bn | 2.9bn – 4.4bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.4(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.68 | 8.02 | -5.68 | -0.56 – 1.92 |
| 2029 | -0.91 | 11.81 | -10 | -3.07 – 1.26 |
| 2031 | -2.49 | 12 | -10 | -5.43 – 0.44 |
| 2036 | -6.46 | 12 | -10 | -10 – -1.55 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed59.9k(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 72.9k | 80.8k | 66k | 70.6k – 75.2k |
| 2029 | 80k | 93.7k | 68.1k | 74.1k – 85.9k |
| 2031 | 87.1k | 104.8k | 71.8k | 77.2k – 97k |
| 2036 | 104.8k | 129.8k | 83.1k | 83.1k – 126.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed77.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 78.73 | 93.02 | 62.25 | 75.27 – 82.19 |
| 2029 | 81.59 | 106.34 | 53.04 | 73.87 – 89.31 |
| 2031 | 84.45 | 116.4 | 47.59 | 72.78 – 96.12 |
| 2036 | 91.6 | 136.78 | 39.47 | 70 – 113.21 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed154.99(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 150 | 150 | 128.17 | 144.26 – 150 |
| 2026 | 150 | 150 | 112.18 | 137.01 – 150 |
| 2028 | 150 | 150 | 101.18 | 130.53 – 150 |
| 2033 | 150 | 150 | 80.95 | 115.43 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.24(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.02 | 8.56 | -2.92 | 1.74 – 4.29 |
| 2029 | 3.72 | 13.31 | -5 | 1.41 – 6.02 |
| 2031 | 4.42 | 16.8 | -5 | 1.32 – 7.52 |
| 2036 | 6.17 | 23.68 | -5 | 1.3 – 11.04 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.88(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.5 | 21.15 | 12.47 | 15.57 – 17.43 |
| 2026 | 15.41 | 23.46 | 8.43 | 13.52 – 17.3 |
| 2028 | 14.31 | 24.71 | 5.3 | 11.68 – 16.95 |
| 2033 | 11.58 | 26.29 | 0 | 7.63 – 15.54 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed34k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 34k | 35.6k | 32.5k | 32.9k – 35k |
| 2029 | 34k | 35.6k | 32.5k | 31.5k – 36.5k |
| 2031 | 34k | 35.6k | 32.5k | 30.1k – 37.9k |
| 2036 | 34k | 36k | 32.1k | 26.9k – 41k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.07 | 5.23 | 2.91 | 3.83 – 4.31 |
| 2029 | 3.41 | 5.42 | 1.39 | 2.93 – 3.88 |
| 2031 | 2.74 | 5.34 | 0.14 | 2.13 – 3.36 |
| 2036 | 1.09 | 4.76 | 0 | 0.35 – 1.82 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SMR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
