Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Somalia, Fed. Rep.: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -8.98 | -4.67 | -13.28 | -10 – -7.95 |
| 2029 | -9.53 | -2.07 | -16.99 | -11.51 – -7.55 |
| 2031 | -10.09 | -0.46 | -19.72 | -12.86 – -7.31 |
| 2036 | -11.47 | 2.15 | -25.09 | -16.09 – -6.86 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33.38 | 39.95 | 27.68 | 31.91 – 34.85 |
| 2027 | 37.72 | 49.1 | 27.85 | 34.28 – 41.15 |
| 2029 | 42.05 | 56.75 | 29.31 | 36.59 – 47.52 |
| 2034 | 52.89 | 73.68 | 34.88 | 41.46 – 64.32 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 14.9bn | 15.7bn | 14.3bn | 14.5bn – 15.4bn |
| 2029 | 16.9bn | 18.2bn | 15.7bn | 15.6bn – 18.1bn |
| 2031 | 18.8bn | 20.5bn | 17.3bn | 16.7bn – 20.9bn |
| 2036 | 23.6bn | 26.1bn | 21.5bn | 18.7bn – 28.5bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.14 | 3.99 | 0.53 | 1.79 – 2.48 |
| 2029 | 1.12 | 4.34 | -1.66 | 0.53 – 1.71 |
| 2031 | 0.11 | 4.26 | -3.49 | -0.66 – 0.88 |
| 2036 | -2.42 | 3.45 | -7.51 | -3.78 – -1.05 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 863.28 | 955.27 | 783.55 | 836.52 – 890.04 |
| 2029 | 988.05 | 1.1k | 849.96 | 914.95 – 1.1k |
| 2031 | 1.1k | 1.3k | 934.54 | 986.47 – 1.2k |
| 2036 | 1.4k | 1.7k | 1.2k | 1.1k – 1.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 104.6 | 116.66 | 92.53 | 101.08 – 108.12 |
| 2027 | 115.57 | 136.46 | 94.67 | 106.82 – 124.31 |
| 2029 | 126.54 | 150 | 99.56 | 112.17 – 140.9 |
| 2034 | 150 | 150 | 111.85 | 118.88 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.96 | 10.29 | 3.4 | 6.11 – 7.81 |
| 2029 | 10.04 | 15.8 | 3.87 | 8.28 – 11.8 |
| 2031 | 13.12 | 20.56 | 5.15 | 10.42 – 15.82 |
| 2036 | 20.82 | 31.34 | 9.55 | 15.16 – 26.48 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28.5 | 32.65 | 24.91 | 27.46 – 29.55 |
| 2027 | 33.03 | 40.21 | 26.81 | 30.42 – 35.64 |
| 2029 | 37.55 | 46.82 | 29.52 | 33.23 – 41.88 |
| 2034 | 48.87 | 61.97 | 37.51 | 38.73 – 59 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 17.8m | 19.4m | 16.4m | 17.2m – 18.4m |
| 2029 | 18.3m | 21m | 15.8m | 17m – 19.7m |
| 2031 | 18.8m | 22.3m | 15.6m | 16.7m – 21m |
| 2036 | 20.2m | 25.1m | 15.6m | 16m – 24.3m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.7 | 7.04 | -4.05 | -0.1 – 1.51 |
| 2027 | 1.53 | 12.5 | -6.7 | 0.09 – 2.97 |
| 2029 | 2.36 | 15 | -8.27 | 0.4 – 4.31 |
| 2034 | 4.42 | 15 | -10 | 1.21 – 7.63 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18.82 | 19.74 | 17.89 | 18.23 – 19.4 |
| 2028 | 18.55 | 19.46 | 17.64 | 17.18 – 19.92 |
| 2030 | 18.29 | 19.44 | 17.14 | 16.21 – 20.36 |
| 2035 | 17.63 | 19.25 | 16 | 13.97 – 21.28 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SOM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
