Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Serbia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-5.7
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -5.65 | -1.19 | -10.11 | -6.65 – -4.65 |
| 2029 | -5.55 | 2.18 | -13.27 | -7.39 – -3.7 |
| 2031 | -5.44 | 4.53 | -15.42 | -7.92 – -2.97 |
| 2036 | -5.19 | 8.92 | -19.29 | -8.9 – -1.48 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed53.58(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 54.91 | 64.57 | 46.55 | 52.66 – 57.17 |
| 2027 | 57.57 | 74.3 | 43.08 | 52.42 – 62.73 |
| 2029 | 60.24 | 81.83 | 41.52 | 52.33 – 68.14 |
| 2034 | 66.89 | 97.42 | 40.42 | 51.82 – 81.95 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed90.1bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 119.5bn | 129.5bn | 110.9bn | 115.8bn – 123.2bn |
| 2029 | 138.5bn | 155.8bn | 123.6bn | 128.3bn – 148.8bn |
| 2031 | 157.6bn | 179.9bn | 138.2bn | 139.7bn – 175.5bn |
| 2036 | 205.1bn | 236.7bn | 177.8bn | 162.6bn – 247.7bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.95(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.2 | 7.15 | -2.09 | 1.34 – 3.06 |
| 2029 | 0.89 | 9.46 | -6.54 | -0.59 – 2.37 |
| 2031 | -0.42 | 10.65 | -10 | -2.35 – 1.5 |
| 2036 | -3.71 | 11.95 | -10 | -6.91 – -0.5 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed13.7k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 18.4k | 19.9k | 17.2k | 17.9k – 19k |
| 2029 | 21.5k | 24k | 19.3k | 19.9k – 23.1k |
| 2031 | 24.6k | 27.9k | 21.8k | 21.8k – 27.4k |
| 2036 | 32.3k | 36.9k | 28.3k | 25.6k – 39k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed42.6(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 41.2 | 46.12 | 35.53 | 39.79 – 42.62 |
| 2029 | 38.41 | 46.92 | 28.58 | 35.25 – 41.56 |
| 2031 | 35.61 | 46.6 | 22.93 | 31.07 – 40.15 |
| 2036 | 28.62 | 44.16 | 10.69 | 21.65 – 35.59 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed58.14(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59.1 | 72.44 | 45.77 | 56.12 – 62.09 |
| 2027 | 61.03 | 84.12 | 37.94 | 54.56 – 67.49 |
| 2029 | 62.95 | 92.76 | 33.14 | 53.35 – 72.55 |
| 2034 | 67.76 | 109.92 | 25.6 | 50.47 – 85.06 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.67(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.97 | 16.08 | -4.85 | 3.64 – 8.31 |
| 2029 | 7.79 | 25.29 | -5 | 3.54 – 12.05 |
| 2031 | 9.61 | 32.21 | -5 | 3.84 – 15.39 |
| 2036 | 14.16 | 46.11 | -5 | 4.82 – 23.51 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.8(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24.12 | 26.55 | 22 | 23.37 – 24.86 |
| 2027 | 25.01 | 29.23 | 21.35 | 23.16 – 26.86 |
| 2029 | 25.9 | 31.34 | 21.18 | 22.96 – 28.84 |
| 2034 | 28.12 | 35.83 | 21.45 | 22.29 – 33.96 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.5m | 6.8m | 6.2m | 6.3m – 6.7m |
| 2029 | 6.5m | 6.8m | 6.2m | 6m – 6.9m |
| 2031 | 6.4m | 6.7m | 6.1m | 5.7m – 7.1m |
| 2036 | 6.3m | 6.6m | 6m | 5m – 7.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.46(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.96 | 6.83 | -3.45 | 0.21 – 1.71 |
| 2027 | -0.15 | 10.03 | -7.78 | -1.47 – 1.17 |
| 2029 | -1.26 | 11.88 | -10 | -3 – 0.49 |
| 2034 | -4.03 | 14.55 | -10 | -6.99 – -1.06 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.12(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.51 | 10.6 | 6.42 | 8.05 – 8.96 |
| 2029 | 7.93 | 11.54 | 4.31 | 6.99 – 8.86 |
| 2031 | 7.34 | 12.01 | 2.68 | 6.04 – 8.65 |
| 2036 | 5.89 | 12.49 | 0 | 3.94 – 7.84 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SRB · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
