Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Sweden: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed5.3
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.38 | 7.94 | 2.82 | 4.77 – 5.99 |
| 2029 | 5.55 | 9.99 | 1.11 | 4.38 – 6.72 |
| 2031 | 5.72 | 11.44 | -0.01 | 4.09 – 7.34 |
| 2036 | 6.13 | 14.23 | -1.96 | 3.5 – 8.77 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed54.31(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55.98 | 62.55 | 50.28 | 54.14 – 57.81 |
| 2027 | 59.32 | 70.71 | 49.45 | 54.85 – 63.79 |
| 2029 | 62.66 | 77.36 | 49.92 | 55.55 – 69.77 |
| 2034 | 71.01 | 91.8 | 52.99 | 56.28 – 85.74 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed603.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 798.4bn | 901.1bn | 709.3bn | 773.4bn – 823.4bn |
| 2029 | 892bn | 1.1T | 737.8bn | 826bn – 958bn |
| 2031 | 985.7bn | 1.2T | 786.6bn | 873.8bn – 1.1T |
| 2036 | 1.2T | 1.5T | 938.2bn | 966.8bn – 1.5T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.82(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.2 | 6.13 | -1.22 | 1.51 – 2.89 |
| 2029 | 2.62 | 9.44 | -3.29 | 1.35 – 3.88 |
| 2031 | 3.04 | 11.84 | -4.59 | 1.33 – 4.75 |
| 2036 | 4.08 | 12 | -6.71 | 1.36 – 6.81 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed57.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 73.8k | 83.5k | 65.4k | 71.5k – 76.1k |
| 2029 | 81.7k | 98.4k | 67.2k | 75.6k – 87.7k |
| 2031 | 89.5k | 111.1k | 70.8k | 79.3k – 99.7k |
| 2036 | 109.1k | 139.6k | 82.7k | 86.5k – 131.8k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed36.7(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 35.99 | 41.04 | 30.17 | 34.64 – 37.35 |
| 2029 | 34.58 | 43.33 | 24.49 | 31.57 – 37.59 |
| 2031 | 33.17 | 44.46 | 20.14 | 28.78 – 37.56 |
| 2036 | 29.63 | 45.6 | 11.21 | 22.43 – 36.83 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed51.57(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53.17 | 60.86 | 45.48 | 51.14 – 55.2 |
| 2027 | 56.37 | 69.69 | 43.04 | 51.62 – 61.11 |
| 2029 | 59.56 | 76.76 | 42.36 | 52.16 – 66.96 |
| 2034 | 67.55 | 91.87 | 43.22 | 53.02 – 82.08 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.84(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.22 | 8.94 | -5 | -0.51 – 2.95 |
| 2029 | -0.32 | 13.05 | -5 | -3.33 – 2.69 |
| 2031 | -1.86 | 15.41 | -5 | -5 – 2.12 |
| 2036 | -5 | 19.42 | -5 | -5 – 1.21 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed25.1(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25.14 | 26.46 | 24 | 24.36 – 25.92 |
| 2027 | 25.26 | 27.07 | 23.69 | 23.39 – 27.13 |
| 2029 | 25.38 | 27.71 | 23.35 | 22.49 – 28.26 |
| 2034 | 25.67 | 28.98 | 22.8 | 20.35 – 30.99 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed10.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.7m | 11.2m | 10.3m | 10.4m – 11.1m |
| 2029 | 10.8m | 11.3m | 10.4m | 10m – 11.6m |
| 2031 | 10.9m | 11.4m | 10.4m | 9.7m – 12.2m |
| 2036 | 11.2m | 11.7m | 10.7m | 8.8m – 13.5m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.35(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.66 | 9.45 | -5.94 | -0.46 – 1.77 |
| 2027 | -0.65 | 14.58 | -10 | -2.6 – 1.3 |
| 2029 | -1.96 | 15 | -10 | -4.58 – 0.65 |
| 2034 | -5.23 | 15 | -10 | -9.54 – -0.92 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed8.69(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.7 | 10.13 | 7.27 | 8.34 – 9.06 |
| 2029 | 8.91 | 11.39 | 6.43 | 8.1 – 9.72 |
| 2031 | 9.12 | 12.32 | 5.91 | 7.9 – 10.33 |
| 2036 | 9.63 | 14.16 | 5.1 | 7.4 – 11.86 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SWE · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
