Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Sint Maarten (Dutch part): forward projections across 5 macro indicators, horizons 2018, 2020, 2022, 2025, 2027, 2029, 2034. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9bn | 2.2bn | 1.6bn | 1.8bn – 2bn |
| 2027 | 2.1bn | 2.6bn | 1.7bn | 2bn – 2.3bn |
| 2029 | 2.3bn | 3bn | 1.8bn | 2.1bn – 2.6bn |
| 2034 | 2.9bn | 3.8bn | 2.1bn | 2.3bn – 3.5bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -0.11 | 12 | -10 | -5.28 – 5.07 |
| 2027 | -6.41 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 2.83 |
| 2029 | -10 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 2.34 |
| 2034 | -10 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 7.92 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed41.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43.2k | 50.1k | 37.3k | 41.7k – 44.7k |
| 2027 | 47.5k | 59.4k | 37.2k | 43.8k – 51.2k |
| 2029 | 51.8k | 67.1k | 38.5k | 45.8k – 57.7k |
| 2034 | 62.4k | 84.1k | 43.6k | 49.5k – 75.4k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.19(2017)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3.09 | 5.78 | 0.22 | 2.45 – 3.74 |
| 2020 | 6.01 | 10.66 | 1.02 | 4.69 – 7.33 |
| 2022 | 8.92 | 14.93 | 2.48 | 6.87 – 10.96 |
| 2027 | 16.2 | 24.7 | 7.1 | 11.73 – 20.68 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed43.4k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43.2k | 45.2k | 41.3k | 41.9k – 44.5k |
| 2027 | 43.9k | 45.9k | 41.9k | 40.6k – 47.1k |
| 2029 | 44.5k | 46.6k | 42.6k | 39.5k – 49.6k |
| 2034 | 46.2k | 48.3k | 44.1k | 36.6k – 55.7k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SXM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
