Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Syria: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2011, 2013, 2015, 2020, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2032, 2034, 2035. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | -2.37 | 2.19 | -6.92 | -3.33 – -1.4 |
| 2013 | -1.5 | 6.39 | -9.39 | -3.18 – 0.18 |
| 2015 | -0.63 | 9.56 | -10.82 | -2.79 – 1.53 |
| 2020 | 1.53 | 15.94 | -12.88 | -1.65 – 4.72 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.81(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5.6 | 15.47 | 0 | 4.09 – 7.1 |
| 2025 | 3.16 | 20.27 | 0 | 0.57 – 5.76 |
| 2027 | 0.73 | 22.82 | 0 | 0 – 3.97 |
| 2032 | 0 | 31.23 | 0 | 0 – 4.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.6bn(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23.8bn | 36.4bn | 12.9bn | 21.9bn – 25.7bn |
| 2025 | 24.9bn | 46.7bn | 6bn | 21.1bn – 28.7bn |
| 2027 | 26bn | 54.1bn | 1.6bn | 20.6bn – 31.4bn |
| 2032 | 28.7bn | 68.6bn | 0 | 19.4bn – 38.1bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.73(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1.24 | 4.94 | -1.96 | 0.61 – 1.88 |
| 2025 | 2.28 | 8.69 | -3.28 | 1.1 – 3.45 |
| 2027 | 3.31 | 11.59 | -3.86 | 1.67 – 4.95 |
| 2032 | 5.89 | 12 | -4.25 | 3 – 8.79 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.1k(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1k | 1.6k | 515.17 | 949.39 – 1.1k |
| 2025 | 1k | 2.1k | 129.42 | 860.61 – 1.2k |
| 2027 | 1k | 2.4k | 0 | 788.4 – 1.3k |
| 2032 | 1k | 2.9k | 0 | 632.73 – 1.4k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed30(2010)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 15.24 | 48.98 | 0 | 9.8 – 20.67 |
| 2013 | 0 | 58.45 | 0 | 0 – 9.04 |
| 2015 | 0 | 75.45 | 0 | 0 – 11.69 |
| 2020 | 0 | 106.71 | 0 | 0 – 16.58 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed28.8(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27.69 | 46.77 | 8.61 | 24.33 – 31.05 |
| 2025 | 25.48 | 58.52 | 0 | 19.19 – 31.76 |
| 2027 | 23.26 | 65.93 | 0 | 14.87 – 31.65 |
| 2032 | 17.72 | 78.06 | 0 | 5.65 – 29.79 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed13.42(2019)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 20.61 | 50 | -5 | 10.91 – 30.31 |
| 2022 | 38.08 | 50 | -5 | 20.01 – 50 |
| 2024 | 50 | 50 | -5 | 25.04 – 50 |
| 2029 | 50 | 50 | -5 | 12.36 – 50 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.47(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3.72 | 7.47 | 0.48 | 3.13 – 4.32 |
| 2025 | 1.79 | 8.28 | 0 | 0.78 – 2.8 |
| 2027 | 0 | 8.37 | 0 | 0 – 1.28 |
| 2032 | 0 | 11.84 | 0 | 0 – 1.85 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed24.7m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24.4m | 25.6m | 23.4m | 23.7m – 25.2m |
| 2027 | 25.6m | 27m | 24.3m | 23.7m – 27.5m |
| 2029 | 26.8m | 28.6m | 25.1m | 23.8m – 29.8m |
| 2034 | 29.8m | 32.3m | 27.4m | 23.6m – 35.9m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-9.31(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -9.97 | -0.07 | -10 | -10 – -8.58 |
| 2025 | -10 | 7.16 | -10 | -10 – -7.38 |
| 2027 | -10 | 12.15 | -10 | -10 – -6.43 |
| 2032 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -4.48 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed13.57(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13.21 | 14.54 | 11.87 | 12.79 – 13.62 |
| 2028 | 12.49 | 14.8 | 10.18 | 11.54 – 13.44 |
| 2030 | 11.77 | 14.75 | 8.79 | 10.37 – 13.17 |
| 2035 | 9.97 | 14.18 | 5.75 | 7.73 – 12.21 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/SYR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
