Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Turks and Caicos Islands: forward projections across 4 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2034, 2035. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Nowcast
Each indicator nowcast from its strongest leading series — inferable from observations already in hand.
No macro series leads another strongly enough in Turks and Caicos Islands (over enough overlapping history) to nowcast it.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/nowcast/country/TCA?indicator= · API docs
Latest observed1.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9bn | 2.3bn | 1.4bn | 1.8bn – 1.9bn |
| 2027 | 2.1bn | 3bn | 1.4bn | 1.9bn – 2.3bn |
| 2029 | 2.4bn | 3.5bn | 1.4bn | 2.1bn – 2.7bn |
| 2034 | 3bn | 4.6bn | 1.7bn | 2.4bn – 3.7bn |
Blended 1-yr-ahead1.8bn· skill-weighted across models
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.64(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.44 | 12 | -10 | -7.59 – 12 |
| 2027 | 2.03 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 12 |
| 2029 | -0.38 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 12 |
| 2034 | -6.4 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 12 |
Blended 1-yr-ahead6.7· skill-weighted across models
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed37.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39.5k | 50.7k | 29.8k | 37.5k – 41.4k |
| 2027 | 44.3k | 63.7k | 27.5k | 39.8k – 48.7k |
| 2029 | 49.1k | 74.1k | 27.4k | 42.2k – 56k |
| 2034 | 61.1k | 96.5k | 30.4k | 47.1k – 75k |
Blended 1-yr-ahead37.7k· skill-weighted across models
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed46.9k(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 46.7k | 48.9k | 44.7k | 45.3k – 48.2k |
| 2028 | 47.1k | 49.3k | 45k | 43.6k – 50.6k |
| 2030 | 47.4k | 49.7k | 45.3k | 42k – 52.8k |
| 2035 | 48.3k | 51.6k | 45.3k | 38.3k – 58.3k |
Blended 1-yr-ahead47.6k· skill-weighted across models
Track record±493.55typical miss · 1 realized · 1% MAPE
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Reliability badges show each indicator's best model skill— how much it beats a naive last-value forecast, measured out-of-sample on that series' own observed history (backtested one-step-ahead). A track record, not a guarantee of future accuracy.
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-08-08 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/TCA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
