Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Chad: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | 1.29 | 7.59 | -5.01 | -0.02 – 2.6 |
| 2029 | 2.27 | 13.18 | -8.65 | -0.07 – 4.6 |
| 2031 | 3.25 | 17.34 | -10.84 | 0.11 – 6.38 |
| 2036 | 5.69 | 25.62 | -14.23 | 0.72 – 10.67 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30.82 | 37.79 | 24.78 | 29.33 – 32.31 |
| 2027 | 32.91 | 44.98 | 22.45 | 29.61 – 36.22 |
| 2029 | 35 | 50.59 | 21.49 | 29.97 – 40.03 |
| 2034 | 40.23 | 62.27 | 21.12 | 30.64 – 49.81 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 27.3bn | 29.6bn | 25.2bn | 26.4bn – 28.1bn |
| 2029 | 31.3bn | 35.4bn | 27.7bn | 29bn – 33.6bn |
| 2031 | 35.4bn | 40.7bn | 30.8bn | 31.4bn – 39.4bn |
| 2036 | 45.6bn | 53.1bn | 39bn | 36.1bn – 55bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.75 | 9.02 | 2.92 | 5.12 – 6.39 |
| 2029 | 7.01 | 12 | 2.1 | 5.73 – 8.29 |
| 2031 | 8.26 | 12 | 1.93 | 6.38 – 10.14 |
| 2036 | 11.39 | 12 | 2.44 | 7.85 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.4k | 1.6k | 1.2k | 1.4k – 1.4k |
| 2029 | 1.6k | 1.9k | 1.3k | 1.5k – 1.7k |
| 2031 | 1.8k | 2.2k | 1.5k | 1.6k – 2k |
| 2036 | 2.3k | 2.8k | 1.8k | 1.8k – 2.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 28.81 | 36.1 | 20.41 | 27.23 – 30.39 |
| 2029 | 26.64 | 39.25 | 12.08 | 23.42 – 29.86 |
| 2031 | 24.46 | 40.75 | 5.67 | 20 – 28.93 |
| 2036 | 19.03 | 42.06 | 0 | 12.44 – 25.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17.53 | 20.25 | 14.8 | 16.83 – 18.22 |
| 2027 | 16.39 | 21.11 | 11.67 | 14.88 – 17.9 |
| 2029 | 15.25 | 21.34 | 9.16 | 13.1 – 17.4 |
| 2034 | 12.41 | 21.02 | 3.8 | 9.11 – 15.71 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.77 | 16.05 | -5 | -0.22 – 5.76 |
| 2029 | 7.11 | 30.1 | -5 | 1.67 – 12.55 |
| 2031 | 11.45 | 41.13 | -5 | 3.95 – 18.95 |
| 2036 | 22.3 | 50 | -5 | 9.43 – 35.17 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.71 | 18.84 | 11.13 | 13.88 – 15.53 |
| 2027 | 14.09 | 21.25 | 7.89 | 12.39 – 15.79 |
| 2029 | 13.48 | 22.72 | 5.47 | 11.08 – 15.87 |
| 2034 | 11.94 | 25.01 | 0.61 | 8.16 – 15.71 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 19.7m | 20.9m | 18.5m | 19.1m – 20.3m |
| 2029 | 20.3m | 22.4m | 18.3m | 18.8m – 21.8m |
| 2031 | 20.8m | 23.6m | 18.3m | 18.5m – 23.2m |
| 2036 | 22.3m | 26.1m | 18.7m | 17.7m – 26.9m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -1.89 | 2.51 | -5.19 | -2.47 – -1.31 |
| 2027 | -2.01 | 5.61 | -7.72 | -3.06 – -0.96 |
| 2029 | -2.13 | 7.71 | -9.5 | -3.53 – -0.73 |
| 2034 | -2.43 | 11.48 | -10 | -4.55 – -0.3 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.92 | 1.26 | 0.59 | 0.86 – 0.99 |
| 2028 | 0.66 | 1.24 | 0.08 | 0.52 – 0.8 |
| 2030 | 0.39 | 1.15 | 0 | 0.2 – 0.59 |
| 2035 | 0 | 1.07 | 0 | 0 – 0.32 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/TCD · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
