Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Tajikistan: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2033, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.54 | 22.83 | -7.75 | 4.3 – 10.78 |
| 2029 | 10.02 | 30 | -16.46 | 4.14 – 15.91 |
| 2031 | 12.5 | 30 | -21.68 | 4.53 – 20.48 |
| 2036 | 18.7 | 30 | -29.64 | 5.85 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.19(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.99 | 26.53 | 10.58 | 16.48 – 19.5 |
| 2026 | 19.58 | 34.38 | 6.75 | 16.52 – 22.63 |
| 2028 | 21.17 | 40.28 | 4.61 | 16.75 – 25.59 |
| 2033 | 25.15 | 52.17 | 1.73 | 17.26 – 33.03 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed14.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 22.3bn | 24.6bn | 20.3bn | 21.6bn – 23bn |
| 2029 | 27.1bn | 31.1bn | 23.6bn | 25.1bn – 29.1bn |
| 2031 | 31.9bn | 37bn | 27.4bn | 28.2bn – 35.5bn |
| 2036 | 43.8bn | 51.1bn | 37.4bn | 34.7bn – 52.8bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed8.4(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.2 | 7.41 | 3.29 | 4.75 – 5.65 |
| 2029 | 3.38 | 7.19 | 0.07 | 2.58 – 4.17 |
| 2031 | 1.55 | 6.47 | -2.72 | 0.6 – 2.49 |
| 2036 | -3.03 | 3.94 | -9.07 | -4.67 – -1.38 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.1k | 2.4k | 1.9k | 2k – 2.2k |
| 2029 | 2.6k | 3k | 2.2k | 2.4k – 2.7k |
| 2031 | 3k | 3.5k | 2.5k | 2.6k – 3.3k |
| 2036 | 4.1k | 4.8k | 3.4k | 3.2k – 4.9k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 18.52 | 27.63 | 8.01 | 16.82 – 20.22 |
| 2029 | 11.77 | 27.55 | 0 | 8.78 – 14.76 |
| 2031 | 5.02 | 25.39 | 0 | 1.48 – 8.55 |
| 2036 | 0 | 28.81 | 0 | 0 – 4.59 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed48.44(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.73 | 57.5 | 41.97 | 47.75 – 51.72 |
| 2026 | 52.32 | 65.77 | 38.87 | 47.75 – 56.89 |
| 2028 | 54.9 | 72.26 | 37.53 | 47.85 – 61.95 |
| 2033 | 61.35 | 85.91 | 36.8 | 47.78 – 74.93 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6(2016)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.28 | 7.09 | 1.27 | 3.59 – 4.98 |
| 2029 | 5.12 | 9.99 | -0.09 | 3.8 – 6.45 |
| 2031 | 5.96 | 12.25 | -0.77 | 4.09 – 7.83 |
| 2036 | 8.06 | 16.95 | -1.46 | 4.8 – 11.32 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed28.3(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.17 | 37.45 | 20.12 | 26.39 – 29.94 |
| 2026 | 27.37 | 43.44 | 13.43 | 23.76 – 30.98 |
| 2028 | 26.57 | 47.32 | 8.58 | 21.48 – 31.66 |
| 2033 | 24.57 | 53.92 | 0 | 16.44 – 32.69 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed10.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.6m | 11.1m | 10.1m | 10.2m – 10.9m |
| 2029 | 10.7m | 11.3m | 10.3m | 10m – 11.5m |
| 2031 | 10.9m | 11.5m | 10.4m | 9.7m – 12.2m |
| 2036 | 11.4m | 12.2m | 10.6m | 9m – 13.8m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.24(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.98 | 10.52 | 0.83 | 4.21 – 5.75 |
| 2027 | 4.42 | 14.02 | -2.77 | 3.01 – 5.84 |
| 2029 | 3.87 | 15 | -5.42 | 2.01 – 5.73 |
| 2034 | 2.48 | 15 | -10 | -0.1 – 5.07 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.93(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.78 | 7.3 | 6.27 | 6.57 – 6.99 |
| 2028 | 6.49 | 7.38 | 5.59 | 6.01 – 6.97 |
| 2030 | 6.19 | 7.34 | 5.04 | 5.49 – 6.89 |
| 2035 | 5.45 | 7.08 | 3.82 | 4.32 – 6.58 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/TJK · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
