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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Timor-Leste

Forecast

Timor-Leste — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
8.48

Timor-Leste: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-32
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-3012.76-30-30 – -20.79
2029-3030-30-30 – -13.44
2031-3030-30-30 – -8.09
2036-3030-30-30 – 2.4

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed10.56(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202513.9754.208 – 19.94
202720.8190.4809.86 – 31.76
202927.64117.59012.58 – 42.7
203444.73150019.4 – 70.06

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed1.9bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.2bn3.7bn861.1m2bn – 2.4bn
20292.2bn4.8bn01.8bn – 2.6bn
20312.2bn5.6bn01.6bn – 2.8bn
20362.2bn7bn01.3bn – 3.1bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed-9.1(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20278.4812-103.54 – 12
20291212-103.1 – 12
20311212-100.29 – 12
20361212-10-5.12 – 12

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed1.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.5k2.6k545.121.4k – 1.7k
20291.5k3.4k01.2k – 1.8k
20311.4k3.9k01k – 1.9k
20361.3k4.9k0704.26 – 2k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed14.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202715.7619.5611.3714.92 – 16.59
202917.4724.069.8815.62 – 19.33
203119.1927.699.3916.35 – 22.03
203623.4835.59.6217.88 – 29.09

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed84.89(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202587.14112.5861.7181.86 – 92.43
202791.65135.747.680.51 – 102.79
202996.1515039.2879.76 – 112.55
2034107.4215026.9977.92 – 136.91

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed2.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.039.94-4.371.45 – 4.61
20295.2717.23-52.37 – 8.18
20317.5122.95-53.49 – 11.54
203613.1134.95-56.17 – 20.05

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed27.01(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202528.3143.1215.4725.74 – 30.88
202731.6757.339.4326.49 – 36.86
202935.0468.166.3327.5 – 42.57
203443.45702.8529.8 – 57.09

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed1.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.4m1.5m1.4m1.4m – 1.5m
20291.4m1.5m1.4m1.3m – 1.5m
20311.5m1.5m1.4m1.3m – 1.6m
20361.5m1.6m1.4m1.2m – 1.8m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed-11.18(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2025-1015-10-10 – -4.58
2027-1015-10-10 – -0.41
2029-1015-10-10 – 2.57
2034-1015-10-10 – 8.24

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed1.59(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20261.352.010.681.22 – 1.47
20280.862.0100.63 – 1.08
20300.371.8600.06 – 0.68
203502.100 – 0.48

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/TLS · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs