Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Tuvalu: forward projections across 7 macro indicators, horizons 2027, 2029, 2031, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-1
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.09 | 30 | -30 | -10.13 – 12.31 |
| 2029 | 5.26 | 30 | -30 | -14.39 – 24.91 |
| 2031 | 9.43 | 30 | -30 | -16.37 – 30 |
| 2036 | 19.87 | 30 | -30 | -18.73 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed62.3m(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 65.7m | 75.8m | 56.9m | 63.4m – 67.9m |
| 2029 | 67.8m | 85.4m | 52.6m | 62.5m – 73.2m |
| 2031 | 70m | 92.7m | 50.3m | 61.7m – 78.3m |
| 2036 | 75.4m | 107.5m | 47.5m | 59.5m – 91.2m |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.85(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.38 | 5.73 | -0.52 | 1.79 – 2.98 |
| 2029 | 2.17 | 7.97 | -2.86 | 1.1 – 3.24 |
| 2031 | 1.96 | 9.45 | -4.53 | 0.55 – 3.36 |
| 2036 | 1.42 | 12 | -7.76 | -0.57 – 3.42 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.3k(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.7k | 7.7k | 5.7k | 6.4k – 6.9k |
| 2029 | 6.9k | 8.7k | 5.3k | 6.3k – 7.4k |
| 2031 | 7.1k | 9.5k | 5.1k | 6.3k – 8k |
| 2036 | 7.7k | 11k | 4.9k | 6.1k – 9.3k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.2(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.1 | 5.39 | 0 | 1.57 – 2.64 |
| 2029 | 0 | 5.69 | 0 | 0 – 0.92 |
| 2031 | 0 | 7.35 | 0 | 0 – 1.21 |
| 2036 | 0 | 10.39 | 0 | 0 – 1.76 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.5(2011)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.66 | 12.29 | -5 | 1.68 – 5.63 |
| 2029 | 5.2 | 20.16 | -5 | 1.63 – 8.76 |
| 2031 | 6.74 | 26.05 | -5 | 1.92 – 11.56 |
| 2036 | 10.59 | 37.9 | -5 | 2.84 – 18.34 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed9.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10k | 10.4k | 9.5k | 9.6k – 10.3k |
| 2029 | 10k | 10.5k | 9.4k | 9.2k – 10.7k |
| 2031 | 10k | 10.7k | 9.3k | 8.8k – 11.1k |
| 2036 | 10k | 11k | 9k | 7.9k – 12k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/TUV · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
