Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Uganda: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -3.4 | -0.58 | -6.22 | -4.03 – -2.77 |
| 2029 | -2.4 | 2.48 | -7.29 | -3.52 – -1.29 |
| 2031 | -1.41 | 4.9 | -7.71 | -2.8 – -0.01 |
| 2036 | 1.09 | 10 | -7.82 | -0.9 – 3.08 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.76(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16.38 | 22.02 | 11.49 | 15.31 – 17.45 |
| 2027 | 15.63 | 25.39 | 7.16 | 13.48 – 17.77 |
| 2029 | 14.87 | 27.48 | 3.95 | 11.88 – 17.86 |
| 2034 | 12.99 | 30.82 | 0 | 8.36 – 17.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed53.9bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 79.3bn | 85.9bn | 73.5bn | 76.8bn – 81.7bn |
| 2029 | 93.9bn | 105.4bn | 83.9bn | 86.9bn – 100.8bn |
| 2031 | 108.5bn | 123.3bn | 95.6bn | 96.2bn – 120.8bn |
| 2036 | 145bn | 166bn | 126.8bn | 114.9bn – 175.1bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.13 | 8.56 | 7.76 | 7.88 – 8.38 |
| 2029 | 9.61 | 10.12 | 9.17 | 8.9 – 10.32 |
| 2031 | 11.09 | 11.74 | 10.53 | 9.83 – 12 |
| 2036 | 12 | 12 | 11.2 | 9.51 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.6k | 1.8k | 1.4k | 1.5k – 1.6k |
| 2029 | 1.9k | 2.2k | 1.6k | 1.7k – 2k |
| 2031 | 2.1k | 2.6k | 1.8k | 1.9k – 2.4k |
| 2036 | 2.8k | 3.4k | 2.3k | 2.2k – 3.4k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed55(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 57.46 | 62.1 | 52.11 | 55.68 – 59.24 |
| 2029 | 62.39 | 70.43 | 53.11 | 57.77 – 67 |
| 2031 | 67.32 | 77.69 | 55.34 | 59.67 – 74.96 |
| 2036 | 79.63 | 94.31 | 62.69 | 63.11 – 96.15 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed25.9(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26.44 | 31.51 | 21.38 | 25.24 – 27.64 |
| 2027 | 27.54 | 36.31 | 18.76 | 24.87 – 30.2 |
| 2029 | 28.63 | 39.96 | 17.31 | 24.61 – 32.66 |
| 2034 | 31.37 | 47.39 | 15.35 | 23.9 – 38.85 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.32(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.19 | 9.33 | -1.31 | 2.99 – 5.4 |
| 2029 | 4.75 | 13.65 | -4.78 | 2.55 – 6.95 |
| 2031 | 5.31 | 16.8 | -5 | 2.34 – 8.28 |
| 2036 | 6.71 | 22.96 | -5 | 2.04 – 11.39 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.64(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.24 | 22.95 | 19.77 | 20.59 – 21.9 |
| 2027 | 20.22 | 23.17 | 17.66 | 18.72 – 21.71 |
| 2029 | 19.19 | 23 | 15.89 | 17.01 – 21.37 |
| 2034 | 16.62 | 22 | 11.95 | 13.17 – 20.07 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed50m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 50.1m | 52.4m | 47.9m | 48.5m – 51.6m |
| 2029 | 51.9m | 55.5m | 48.6m | 48.1m – 55.7m |
| 2031 | 53.8m | 58.3m | 49.5m | 47.7m – 59.9m |
| 2036 | 58.4m | 64.9m | 52.4m | 46.3m – 70.5m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.47(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 6.18 | 1.67 | 3.22 – 3.98 |
| 2027 | 6.29 | 10.76 | 2.94 | 5.43 – 7.15 |
| 2029 | 8.98 | 14.75 | 4.65 | 7.54 – 10.42 |
| 2034 | 15 | 15 | 8.88 | 11.58 – 15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.75(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.53 | 2.95 | 2.11 | 2.43 – 2.64 |
| 2028 | 2.1 | 2.83 | 1.37 | 1.89 – 2.31 |
| 2030 | 1.67 | 2.61 | 0.73 | 1.39 – 1.95 |
| 2035 | 0.6 | 1.93 | 0 | 0.23 – 0.96 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/UGA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
