Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Uruguay: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-0.8
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -0.91 | 1.73 | -3.55 | -1.46 – -0.35 |
| 2029 | -1.12 | 3.45 | -5.69 | -2.1 – -0.13 |
| 2031 | -1.33 | 4.57 | -7.23 | -2.64 – -0.02 |
| 2036 | -1.86 | 6.49 | -10.21 | -3.86 – 0.14 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed28.76(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29.37 | 36.36 | 23.32 | 27.91 – 30.84 |
| 2027 | 30.6 | 42.69 | 20.12 | 27.4 – 33.79 |
| 2029 | 31.82 | 47.43 | 18.29 | 27.05 – 36.6 |
| 2034 | 34.88 | 56.96 | 15.75 | 26.15 – 43.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed81bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 100.5bn | 113.2bn | 89.5bn | 97.4bn – 103.6bn |
| 2029 | 112bn | 134bn | 92.9bn | 103.7bn – 120.3bn |
| 2031 | 123.5bn | 151.8bn | 98.9bn | 109.5bn – 137.5bn |
| 2036 | 152.2bn | 192.3bn | 117.5bn | 120.7bn – 183.8bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.11(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.18 | 5.37 | -2.45 | 0.46 – 1.9 |
| 2029 | -0.19 | 7.06 | -6.48 | -1.45 – 1.06 |
| 2031 | -1.57 | 7.8 | -9.69 | -3.26 – 0.12 |
| 2036 | -5 | 8.25 | -10 | -8.01 – -1.99 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.9k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 28.7k | 32.5k | 25.4k | 27.8k – 29.6k |
| 2029 | 31.7k | 38.2k | 26k | 29.3k – 34k |
| 2031 | 34.6k | 43.1k | 27.3k | 30.7k – 38.6k |
| 2036 | 42k | 54k | 31.7k | 33.3k – 50.8k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed66.8(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 67.85 | 75.17 | 59.4 | 65.64 – 70.06 |
| 2029 | 69.95 | 82.63 | 55.32 | 64.64 – 75.26 |
| 2031 | 72.05 | 88.42 | 53.16 | 63.77 – 80.33 |
| 2036 | 77.3 | 100.46 | 50.59 | 61.27 – 93.34 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.7(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24.43 | 28.45 | 20.41 | 23.43 – 25.44 |
| 2027 | 25.89 | 32.85 | 18.93 | 23.58 – 28.2 |
| 2029 | 27.35 | 36.33 | 18.36 | 23.78 – 30.91 |
| 2034 | 30.99 | 43.7 | 18.28 | 24.09 – 37.89 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.78 | 6.8 | 0.55 | 3.05 – 4.51 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 8.03 | -2.8 | 1.51 – 4.1 |
| 2031 | 1.82 | 8.57 | -5 | 0.18 – 3.47 |
| 2036 | -0.63 | 8.92 | -5 | -2.9 – 1.65 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.24(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16.06 | 19.05 | 13.47 | 15.38 – 16.75 |
| 2027 | 15.69 | 20.87 | 11.19 | 14.19 – 17.18 |
| 2029 | 15.31 | 22.01 | 9.51 | 13.13 – 17.5 |
| 2034 | 14.38 | 23.84 | 6.18 | 10.73 – 18.03 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.5m | 3.6m | 3.3m | 3.4m – 3.6m |
| 2029 | 3.5m | 3.6m | 3.3m | 3.2m – 3.7m |
| 2031 | 3.4m | 3.6m | 3.3m | 3.1m – 3.8m |
| 2036 | 3.4m | 3.6m | 3.3m | 2.7m – 4.1m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.81(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.67 | 8.19 | -3.22 | 0.83 – 2.51 |
| 2027 | 1.58 | 12.86 | -6.89 | 0.09 – 3.06 |
| 2029 | 1.48 | 15 | -9.45 | -0.46 – 3.42 |
| 2034 | 1.24 | 15 | -10 | -1.54 – 4.01 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.52(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.78 | 9.22 | 6.33 | 7.43 – 8.12 |
| 2029 | 7.33 | 9.83 | 4.82 | 6.59 – 8.06 |
| 2031 | 6.88 | 10.11 | 3.65 | 5.83 – 7.92 |
| 2036 | 5.75 | 10.32 | 1.18 | 4.13 – 7.37 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/URY · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
