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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Uzbekistan

Forecast

Uzbekistan — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
6.49

Uzbekistan: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-1.3
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-0.993.87-5.85-2 – 0.02
2029-0.378.05-8.79-2.13 – 1.4
20310.2511.12-10.61-2.04 – 2.55
20361.8117.18-13.56-1.62 – 5.23

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed22.77(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202523.0628.7418.1321.87 – 24.24
202723.6433.4815.121.1 – 26.18
202924.2236.9313.220.46 – 27.97
203425.6743.6510.0918.99 – 32.34

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed115bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027199.4bn223.8bn178.3bn193.2bn – 205.6bn
2029244.3bn286.5bn207.7bn226.2bn – 262.4bn
2031289.2bn343.7bn241.9bn256.4bn – 322bn
2036401.4bn478.5bn334.6bn318.1bn – 484.7bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed6.5(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20276.498.924.395.99 – 7
20296.4410.642.85.43 – 7.45
20316.3911.811.694.98 – 7.81
20366.2612-0.393.98 – 8.54

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed3.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20275.1k5.6k4.6k4.9k – 5.2k
20296.1k7k5.2k5.6k – 6.5k
20317.1k8.3k6k6.3k – 7.9k
20369.6k11.4k8k7.6k – 11.6k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed27.5(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202728.7335.321.1627.26 – 30.2
202931.242.5718.0927.95 – 34.45
203133.6748.3416.7428.72 – 38.62
203639.8360.5815.8930.27 – 49.4

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed37.96(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202539.2451.8326.6536.69 – 41.8
202741.8163.612036.46 – 47.15
202944.3772.5216.2236.51 – 52.23
203450.7890.5910.9636.56 – 65

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed9.63(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20276.378.114.525.89 – 6.86
20293.856.860.643 – 4.7
20311.335.21-2.820.37 – 2.3
2036-4.970.52-5-5 – -2.96

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed37.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202538.1546.7530.7136.32 – 39.99
202741.0555.9328.1536.95 – 45.15
202943.9563.1627.2937.69 – 50.21
203451.197027.6439.12 – 63.26

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed36.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202738.5m40.3m36.8m37.3m – 39.7m
202939.3m41.2m37.6m36.4m – 42.2m
203140.1m42m38.3m35.5m – 44.6m
203642m44.3m39.9m33.3m – 50.7m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed4.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20254.8811.87-0.363.93 – 5.83
20275.0715-43.32 – 6.83
20295.2715-6.452.89 – 7.64
20345.7615-102.07 – 9.44

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed4.62(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.164.913.413.98 – 4.34
20293.895.192.583.5 – 4.27
20313.615.291.933.07 – 4.16
20362.925.30.552.09 – 3.76

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/UZB · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs