Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
St. Vincent and the Grenadines: forward projections across 9 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -21.26 | -10.38 | -30 | -23.82 – -18.7 |
| 2029 | -24.18 | -5.33 | -30 | -29.19 – -19.17 |
| 2031 | -27.1 | -2.77 | -30 | -30 – -19.97 |
| 2036 | -30 | 4.42 | -30 | -30 – -18.18 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.3bn | 1.4bn | 1.2bn | 1.2bn – 1.3bn |
| 2029 | 1.4bn | 1.6bn | 1.2bn | 1.3bn – 1.5bn |
| 2031 | 1.5bn | 1.7bn | 1.3bn | 1.3bn – 1.7bn |
| 2036 | 1.8bn | 2.1bn | 1.5bn | 1.4bn – 2.1bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.74 | 5.4 | 0.45 | 2.26 – 3.23 |
| 2029 | 2.18 | 6.77 | -1.81 | 1.31 – 3.05 |
| 2031 | 1.61 | 7.54 | -3.53 | 0.49 – 2.72 |
| 2036 | 0.19 | 8.57 | -7.08 | -1.37 – 1.74 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed11.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 11.2k | 12.7k | 10k | 10.9k – 11.6k |
| 2029 | 11.7k | 14.2k | 9.5k | 10.8k – 12.6k |
| 2031 | 12.1k | 15.4k | 9.3k | 10.8k – 13.5k |
| 2036 | 13.2k | 17.8k | 9.3k | 10.5k – 16k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed120.1(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 125.96 | 135.46 | 115 | 122.06 – 129.87 |
| 2029 | 137.69 | 154.15 | 118.69 | 127.5 – 147.87 |
| 2031 | 149.41 | 170.66 | 124.89 | 132.45 – 166.37 |
| 2036 | 178.72 | 208.77 | 144.04 | 141.65 – 215.79 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.63(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.17 | 5.81 | -3.8 | 0.12 – 2.22 |
| 2029 | 1.17 | 9.21 | -5 | -0.67 – 3.01 |
| 2031 | 1.17 | 11.55 | -5 | -1.22 – 3.56 |
| 2036 | 1.17 | 15.85 | -5 | -2.27 – 4.61 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed100.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 109k | 115.6k | 102.9k | 105.6k – 112.4k |
| 2029 | 109k | 120.4k | 98.5k | 101k – 117.1k |
| 2031 | 109k | 123.7k | 95.4k | 96.6k – 121.4k |
| 2036 | 109k | 129.8k | 89.8k | 86.4k – 131.6k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.73(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.24 | 8.87 | 0.76 | 3.59 – 4.88 |
| 2027 | 5.49 | 13.51 | -0.53 | 4.22 – 6.75 |
| 2029 | 6.73 | 15 | -1.03 | 4.9 – 8.57 |
| 2034 | 9.85 | 15 | -1.13 | 6.45 – 13.26 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17.41 | 18.26 | 16.55 | 16.87 – 17.95 |
| 2028 | 16.21 | 17.57 | 14.86 | 15.01 – 17.41 |
| 2030 | 15.02 | 16.77 | 13.28 | 13.31 – 16.73 |
| 2035 | 12.04 | 14.51 | 9.57 | 9.54 – 14.53 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/VCT · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
