Forecast

Venezuela — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

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Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

3.56

Venezuela: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Exports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Conf. band
2025	12.96	41	8.74 – 17.17
2027	5.15	53.73	0 – 12.34
2029	0	62.71	0 – 9.04
2034	0	88.68	0 – 12.83

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	113.8bn	157bn	76.4bn	106.9bn – 120.8bn
2029	121.8bn	196.7bn	56.9bn	107.1bn – 136.6bn
2031	129.8bn	226.4bn	46.1bn	107.9bn – 151.7bn
2036	149.8bn	286.4bn	31.3bn	109.5bn – 190bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	3.56	12	-3.99	2.05 – 5.07
2029	2.69	12	-10	0.05 – 5.34
2031	1.82	12	-10	-1.57 – 5.22
2036	-0.36	12	-10	-5.11 – 4.4

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.3k	5.7k	3.1k	4k – 4.5k
2029	4.7k	7.2k	2.6k	4.2k – 5.2k
2031	5.1k	8.3k	2.4k	4.3k – 5.9k
2036	6.2k	10.7k	2.3k	4.7k – 7.7k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	300	300	139.69	273.83 – 300
2028	300	300	22.34	248.58 – 300
2030	300	300	0	228.21 – 300
2035	300	300	0	184.41 – 300

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	9.13	12.67	5.58	8.44 – 9.81
2027	8.93	15.07	2.79	7.57 – 10.3
2029	8.74	16.67	0.82	6.83 – 10.65
2034	8.26	19.47	0	5.22 – 11.3

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	50	50	-5	-5 – 50
2029	50	50	-5	-5 – 50
2031	50	50	-5	-5 – 50
2036	50	50	-5	-5 – 50

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	3.22	5.43	1.3	2.85 – 3.58
2027	1.74	5.57	0	1.11 – 2.37
2029	0.26	5.21	0	0 – 1.05
2034	0	7	0	0 – 1.16

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	27.3m	28.5m	26.1m	26.4m – 28.1m
2029	27.5m	29.4m	25.7m	25.5m – 29.5m
2031	27.7m	30.2m	25.4m	24.6m – 30.9m
2036	28.3m	31.9m	25m	22.4m – 34.2m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	4.84	5.81	3.86	4.61 – 5.06
2028	3.9	5.58	2.21	3.45 – 4.34
2030	2.95	5.13	0.77	2.38 – 3.52
2035	0.6	3.68	0	0 – 1.23

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

2027	7.75	16.53	-1.04	5.83 – 9.66
2029	9.04	24.25	-6.18	5.5 – 12.57
2031	10.33	29.96	-9.31	5.49 – 15.16
2036	13.55	30	-14.22	5.72 – 21.39