Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Samoa: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -0.91 | 14.35 | -16.18 | -4.04 – 2.22 |
| 2029 | 0.46 | 26.9 | -25.98 | -4.98 – 5.91 |
| 2031 | 1.84 | 30 | -30 | -5.27 – 8.95 |
| 2036 | 5.28 | 30 | -30 | -5.42 – 15.98 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed30.66(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29.35 | 48.78 | 12.5 | 26.1 – 32.59 |
| 2027 | 26.72 | 60.38 | 0 | 20.63 – 32.81 |
| 2029 | 24.1 | 67.55 | 0 | 15.96 – 32.23 |
| 2034 | 17.54 | 78.99 | 0 | 5.96 – 29.13 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.5bn | 1.6bn | 1.3bn | 1.4bn – 1.5bn |
| 2029 | 1.6bn | 1.9bn | 1.4bn | 1.5bn – 1.8bn |
| 2031 | 1.8bn | 2.2bn | 1.6bn | 1.6bn – 2.1bn |
| 2036 | 2.3bn | 2.8bn | 1.9bn | 1.8bn – 2.8bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.75(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.17 | 12 | -10 | 0.32 – 6.02 |
| 2029 | 3 | 12 | -10 | -1.99 – 7.99 |
| 2031 | 2.83 | 12 | -10 | -3.65 – 9.31 |
| 2036 | 2.42 | 12 | -10 | -6.81 – 11.65 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.4k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.8k | 7.6k | 6.2k | 6.6k – 7k |
| 2029 | 7.8k | 9k | 6.7k | 7.2k – 8.3k |
| 2031 | 8.7k | 10.4k | 7.3k | 7.7k – 9.7k |
| 2036 | 11.1k | 13.4k | 9k | 8.8k – 13.4k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.1(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 13.48 | 20.19 | 5.73 | 12.23 – 14.72 |
| 2029 | 6.23 | 17.85 | 0 | 4.14 – 8.32 |
| 2031 | 0 | 15.01 | 0 | 0 – 2.39 |
| 2036 | 0 | 21.22 | 0 | 0 – 3.42 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed48.87(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49.74 | 55.84 | 43.63 | 48.01 – 51.47 |
| 2027 | 51.48 | 62.05 | 40.91 | 47.39 – 55.57 |
| 2029 | 53.22 | 66.87 | 39.57 | 46.87 – 59.57 |
| 2034 | 57.57 | 76.87 | 38.27 | 45.41 – 69.74 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.17(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.93 | 12.18 | -5 | 0.83 – 5.02 |
| 2029 | 3.77 | 19.8 | -5 | 0.03 – 7.5 |
| 2031 | 4.61 | 25.3 | -5 | -0.35 – 9.56 |
| 2036 | 6.71 | 35.97 | -5 | -0.86 – 14.27 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed27.82(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27.16 | 30.16 | 24.55 | 26.29 – 28.02 |
| 2027 | 25.37 | 30.57 | 20.87 | 23.41 – 27.33 |
| 2029 | 23.59 | 30.3 | 17.77 | 20.74 – 26.44 |
| 2034 | 19.13 | 28.63 | 10.91 | 14.72 – 23.55 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed218k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 214.1k | 224.2k | 204.7k | 207.4k – 220.7k |
| 2029 | 215.2k | 225.3k | 205.7k | 199.3k – 231.1k |
| 2031 | 216.3k | 226.7k | 206.6k | 191.7k – 240.8k |
| 2036 | 219k | 233.7k | 205.4k | 173.6k – 264.5k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.43(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.6 | 15 | -6.28 | 4.35 – 8.85 |
| 2027 | 10.93 | 15 | -10 | 6.69 – 15 |
| 2029 | 15 | 15 | -10 | 9 – 15 |
| 2034 | 15 | 15 | -10 | 5.81 – 15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.48 | 5.75 | 3.22 | 4.22 – 4.75 |
| 2028 | 3.46 | 5.65 | 1.27 | 2.96 – 3.96 |
| 2030 | 2.44 | 5.26 | 0 | 1.81 – 3.06 |
| 2035 | 0 | 3.99 | 0 | 0 – 0.77 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/WSM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
